{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c5da54f-f905-4278-9d3f-67d0204d3888", "symbol": "3050", "name": "Southern Province Cement Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.848, "architecture_energy": 67.906, "architecture_maturity": 50.675, "architecture_confidence": 93.619, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.2, "rotation_up": 26.26, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 50.76, "rotation_down": 62.48, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.875333, 19.077684, 19.570799, 20.163507 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 18.77, "trend_reference": 20.901109, "distance_from_trend": -0.101962, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.572122, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.386042, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.768526, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.133025, "excess_performance": -0.101196, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.101962, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048661, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.386042, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01873, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.147685, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001432, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.133025, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.817717, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 242259, "relative_activity": 0.643203, "balance": 0.817717, "dry_up": 0.614324, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024786, "annualized_volatility": 0.174171, "from_high_reference": -0.322046, "from_low_reference": 0.019555 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.901109, "fair_value_reference": 30.572122, "structural_low": 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"trend": 21.210278, "fair_value": 31.114152, "relative_strength": -13.263647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.323641, "energy": 85.41812, "activity_lines": [ 19.238666, 19.46147, 20.08656, 20.607066 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.110001, "volume": 156612, "typical_volume": 376982.6, "trend": 21.126776, "fair_value": 30.931367, "relative_strength": -13.964409, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.986746, "energy": 85.878998, "activity_lines": [ 19.16, 19.36738, 19.926735, 20.471564 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.58, "volume": 259903, "typical_volume": 377912.15, "trend": 20.998109, "fair_value": 30.751136, "relative_strength": -14.171688, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.282385, "energy": 83.666876, "activity_lines": [ 18.96, 19.192423, 19.730434, 20.307256 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.77, "volume": 242259, "typical_volume": 376644.95, "trend": 20.901109, "fair_value": 30.572122, "relative_strength": -14.768526, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.848242, "energy": 67.906214, "activity_lines": [ 18.875333, 19.077684, 19.570799, 20.163507 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }