{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c688c33-0bef-4766-ac9b-13fa3f2b2c7f", "symbol": "YBIT", "name": "YIELDMAX BITCOIN OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.743, "architecture_energy": 43.853, "architecture_maturity": 72.894, "architecture_confidence": 61.94, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.82, "rotation_up": 26.68, "upward_expansion": 18.88, "deceleration": 66.6, "rotation_down": 40.61, "downward_expansion": 66.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.331949, 18.230808, 19.296111, 19.924122 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 18.47, "trend_reference": 20.920314, "distance_from_trend": -0.117126, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.759771, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.282991, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.890253, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.107956, "excess_performance": -0.233581, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.117126, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.121242, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.282991, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151469, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.338903, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0734, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.107956, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.430269, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91250, "relative_activity": 0.713576, "balance": 0.430269, "dry_up": 0.930914, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059686, "annualized_volatility": 0.319887, "from_high_reference": -0.469958, "from_low_reference": 0.08349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.920314, "fair_value_reference": 25.759771, 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17.99428, 19.200654, 20.381337, 21.029248 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 18.232588, "volume": 64506, "typical_volume": 200104.2, "trend": 22.000272, "fair_value": 26.015904, "relative_strength": -36.962903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.427519, "energy": 83.40385, "activity_lines": [ 18.052932, 18.827362, 20.135285, 20.767612 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.335658, "volume": 50747, "typical_volume": 161975.55, "trend": 21.734569, "fair_value": 25.950261, "relative_strength": -34.677809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.337548, "energy": 63.121974, "activity_lines": [ 18.123871, 18.554085, 19.909614, 20.531185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.362473, "volume": 94787, "typical_volume": 162377.35, "trend": 21.474871, "fair_value": 25.885958, "relative_strength": -33.261062, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.289141, "energy": 56.767814, "activity_lines": [ 18.215078, 18.371794, 19.694706, 20.313631 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.159479, "volume": 239386, "typical_volume": 168293.1, "trend": 21.19199, "fair_value": 25.82103, "relative_strength": -33.742094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.303216, "energy": 48.892694, "activity_lines": [ 18.239794, 18.236192, 19.472396, 20.099735 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.47, "volume": 91250, "typical_volume": 127877.05, "trend": 20.920314, "fair_value": 25.759771, "relative_strength": -33.890253, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.742752, "energy": 43.852806, "activity_lines": [ 18.331949, 18.230808, 19.296111, 19.924122 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }