{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3c710071-42f4-4594-9f05-15f60180a9d2",
    "symbol": "SLMC",
    "name": "iShares MSCI Europe Screened UCITS ETF EUR (Acc)",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.947,
    "architecture_energy": 70.969,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.25,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.5,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.57,
        "rotation_up": 61.85,
        "upward_expansion": 86.76,
        "deceleration": 52.56,
        "rotation_down": 23.69,
        "downward_expansion": 13.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        10.81821,
        10.645247
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.27,
    "trend_reference": 10.470667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07634,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.873195,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.270117,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.444094,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.093538,
    "excess_performance": 0.028898,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07634,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039816,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.270117,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064011,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034441,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02526,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093538,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.577058,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1079770,
      "relative_activity": 0.732799,
      "balance": 1.577058,
      "dry_up": 1.082413,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019767,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158703,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004944,
      "from_low_reference": 0.240643
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.470667,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.873195,
      "structural_low": 9.3,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.003706,
        "positive_rate": 0.564103,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.564103,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002453,
        "regime_survival": 0.794872,
        "best_return": 0.074758,
        "worst_return": -0.056219,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.044389,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015284,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
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        "worst_return": -0.128339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.067272,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 79.692101,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1554941.55,
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        "fair_value": 8.800028,
        "relative_strength": 6.817418,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.175167,
        "energy": 74.271326,
        "activity_lines": [
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          10.637429,
          10.509258
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1288466,
        "typical_volume": 1504037.2,
        "trend": 10.399233,
        "fair_value": 8.822855,
        "relative_strength": 6.184531,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 65.75496,
        "energy": 69.982383,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.054,
        "volume": 2158301,
        "typical_volume": 1527799.4,
        "trend": 10.434933,
        "fair_value": 8.847355,
        "relative_strength": 4.436779,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.792249,
        "energy": 56.506385,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.994267,
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          10.746952,
          10.591372
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.27,
        "volume": 1079770,
        "typical_volume": 1473487.1,
        "trend": 10.470667,
        "fair_value": 8.873195,
        "relative_strength": 3.444094,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.946711,
        "energy": 70.969312,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}