{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3c7cc11d-d97c-47f4-b414-cea2066f8bfe",
    "symbol": "EQWL",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR S&P 100 EQUAL WEIGHT ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.353,
    "architecture_energy": 67.384,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.853,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.166,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.57,
        "rotation_up": 61.33,
        "upward_expansion": 84.45,
        "deceleration": 57.46,
        "rotation_down": 25.01,
        "downward_expansion": 11.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        128.114438,
        125.859034
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 133.93,
    "trend_reference": 123.490817,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.084534,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 102.202738,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.310435,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.224108,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.096166,
    "excess_performance": -0.029459,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084534,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03531,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.310435,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040293,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002241,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030907,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096166,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.318627,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 321282,
      "relative_activity": 0.757079,
      "balance": 1.318627,
      "dry_up": 0.827898,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019317,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.113436,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000448,
      "from_low_reference": 0.233593
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 102.202738,
      "structural_low": 112.31,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
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        "positive_rate": 0.681818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.681818,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001026,
        "regime_survival": 0.795455,
        "best_return": 0.058708,
        "worst_return": -0.112945,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_excess_return": -0.006012,
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        "worst_return": -0.070915,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.088631,
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      {
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 65.569626,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 118.85773,
        "fair_value": 98.547342,
        "relative_strength": -2.669638,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 591731.05,
        "trend": 119.279058,
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        "relative_strength": -2.568173,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 583095.45,
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        "relative_strength": -1.736569,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 577638.3,
        "trend": 120.100854,
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        "relative_strength": -0.538374,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 73.749247,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 512546.25,
        "trend": 121.003906,
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        "relative_strength": 1.381026,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.132672,
        "energy": 67.978709,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 503890.4,
        "trend": 121.454503,
        "fair_value": 100.549662,
        "relative_strength": 0.896847,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 79.217383,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 491176.4,
        "trend": 121.874309,
        "fair_value": 100.884348,
        "relative_strength": -0.579972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.704279,
        "energy": 80.42309,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 129.29,
        "volume": 352258,
        "typical_volume": 468195.0,
        "trend": 122.2687,
        "fair_value": 101.203122,
        "relative_strength": 0.197789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.110599,
        "energy": 76.274061,
        "activity_lines": [
          129.639029,
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          126.018231,
          124.218153
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 129.25,
        "volume": 394298,
        "typical_volume": 443012.75,
        "trend": 122.619159,
        "fair_value": 101.518524,
        "relative_strength": 0.767033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.224926,
        "energy": 67.595238,
        "activity_lines": [
          129.596,
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          126.592358,
          124.668559
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 130.17,
        "volume": 337505,
        "typical_volume": 433543.45,
        "trend": 123.028489,
        "fair_value": 101.849171,
        "relative_strength": 0.38225,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.632635,
        "energy": 57.437087,
        "activity_lines": [
          129.795333,
          129.344696,
          127.206741,
          125.15571
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 133.93,
        "volume": 321282,
        "typical_volume": 424370.6,
        "trend": 123.490817,
        "fair_value": 102.202738,
        "relative_strength": -0.224108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.353037,
        "energy": 67.384087,
        "activity_lines": [
          131.132667,
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          125.859034
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}