{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c874029-aa5b-4677-8d78-55878b0fe1df", "symbol": "001286", "name": "Shaanxi Energy Investment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 53.047, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.595, "architecture_energy": 20.851, "architecture_maturity": 18.274, "architecture_confidence": 65.856, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.77, "rotation_up": 25.98, "upward_expansion": 13.61, "deceleration": 62.16, "rotation_down": 43.57, "downward_expansion": 41.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.372667, 10.420031, 10.749895, 10.801977 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.47, "trend_reference": 10.718438, "distance_from_trend": -0.023179, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.369357, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.117473, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.464294, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.043868, "excess_performance": 0.036469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023179, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023453, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.117473, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080312, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.004643, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064948, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.043868, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.944727, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 132861870, "relative_activity": 1.321366, "balance": 0.944727, "dry_up": 1.23666, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071971, "annualized_volatility": 0.306109, "from_high_reference": -0.15671, "from_low_reference": 0.179054 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.718438, "fair_value_reference": 9.369357, "structural_low": 9.59, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"relative_strength": 4.566265, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.142389, "energy": 35.09031, "activity_lines": [ 10.313333, 10.483254, 10.795958, 10.815511 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.47, "volume": 132861870, "typical_volume": 100548867.8, "trend": 10.718438, "fair_value": 9.369357, "relative_strength": -0.464294, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.595391, "energy": 20.851164, "activity_lines": [ 10.372667, 10.420031, 10.749895, 10.801977 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }