{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c949850-b436-4492-9856-687adc93cb08", "symbol": "PRTH", "name": "Priority Technology Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 94.603, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.956, "architecture_energy": 16.799, "architecture_maturity": 62.787, "architecture_confidence": 76.225, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.47, "rotation_up": 17.23, "upward_expansion": 54.34, "deceleration": 91.14, "rotation_down": 37.18, "downward_expansion": 20.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.154, 6.490545, 6.295667, 6.038796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 5.39, "trend_reference": 5.810333, "distance_from_trend": -0.072342, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.906923, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.087511, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.418665, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.028829, "excess_performance": -0.216282, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072342, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063644, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.087511, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07561, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.234187, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049971, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.028829, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.125664, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3322521, "relative_activity": 1.947162, "balance": 1.125664, "dry_up": 1.139694, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.151987, "annualized_volatility": 0.509761, "from_high_reference": -0.372833, "from_low_reference": 0.213964 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.810333, "fair_value_reference": 5.906923, "structural_low": 4.57, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.102041, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.036667, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.741573, "worst_return": -0.316071, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.091837, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.213595, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.779026, "worst_return": -0.388393, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.258398, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.089081, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.460674, "worst_return": 0.056122, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.116412, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.251309, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.110807, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.05, "volume": 58553, "typical_volume": 105093.3, "trend": 3.862833, "fair_value": 5.268526, "relative_strength": -19.165613, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", 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-7.154827, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.431672, "energy": 39.855002, "activity_lines": [ 6.747333, 6.736909, 6.285286, 6.021118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.5, "volume": 1233061, "typical_volume": 1620530.25, "trend": 5.827667, "fair_value": 5.899295, "relative_strength": -4.064078, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.854025, "energy": 25.852981, "activity_lines": [ 6.608667, 6.721636, 6.347, 6.067032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.39, "volume": 3322521, "typical_volume": 1706340.1, "trend": 5.810333, "fair_value": 5.906923, "relative_strength": -23.418665, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.956444, "energy": 16.799336, "activity_lines": [ 6.154, 6.490545, 6.295667, 6.038796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }