{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c9fa6cb-ad88-466d-9bc8-4afc738949ef", "symbol": "HVLU", "name": "VanEck MSCI International Value (AUD Hedged) ETF", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.587, "architecture_energy": 61.743, "architecture_maturity": 28.552, "architecture_confidence": 95.658, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.81, "rotation_up": 61.77, "upward_expansion": 86.91, "deceleration": 48.45, "rotation_down": 21.94, "downward_expansion": 11.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.846666, 40.548466, 39.667264, 39.061617 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 41.639999, "trend_reference": 38.352189, "distance_from_trend": 0.085727, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.398399, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.416404, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.411547, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.115457, "excess_performance": 0.051751, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085727, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058709, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.416404, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.158376, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.104115, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020664, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115457, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.53895, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 61909, "relative_activity": 0.682544, "balance": 4.53895, "dry_up": 0.789147, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030527, "annualized_volatility": 0.255431, "from_high_reference": -0.008571, "from_low_reference": 0.411525 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.352189, "fair_value_reference": 29.398399, "structural_low": 33.448139, 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.728075, "energy": 45.543794, "activity_lines": [ 40.150671, 39.90387, 38.947869, 38.476321 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.18, "volume": 68874, "typical_volume": 87140.45, "trend": 37.941189, "fair_value": 29.229784, "relative_strength": 13.823257, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.427932, "energy": 40.819714, "activity_lines": [ 40.13658, 40.028274, 39.12827, 38.632717 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.099998, "volume": 77275, "typical_volume": 89017.05, "trend": 38.150856, "fair_value": 29.312793, "relative_strength": 13.099519, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.584688, "energy": 49.32547, "activity_lines": [ 40.431999, 40.268556, 39.382576, 38.836511 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.639999, "volume": 61909, "typical_volume": 90703.35, "trend": 38.352189, "fair_value": 29.398399, "relative_strength": 10.411547, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.587292, "energy": 61.742927, "activity_lines": [ 40.846666, 40.548466, 39.667264, 39.061617 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }