{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3ca8d343-062e-440b-82e1-d90e6cf952f3",
    "symbol": "WCH",
    "name": "Wacker Chemie AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 10.371,
    "architecture_energy": 12.782,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.843,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.15,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.16,
        "rotation_up": 21.25,
        "upward_expansion": 42.89,
        "deceleration": 82.72,
        "rotation_down": 36.48,
        "downward_expansion": 34.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        90.613333,
        91.764546,
        93.547619,
        91.113226
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 93.699997,
    "trend_reference": 86.836667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079037,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 83.893557,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.116891,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.58752,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.24684,
    "excess_performance": 0.1822,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079037,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104183,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116891,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021468,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105875,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.208497,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.24684,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.6985,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 351589,
      "relative_activity": 0.897559,
      "balance": 0.6985,
      "dry_up": 0.890332,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.082998,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.535175,
      "from_high_reference": -0.105062,
      "from_low_reference": 0.532298
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 86.836667,
      "fair_value_reference": 83.893557,
      "structural_low": 62.25,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.015785,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011099,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.187073,
        "worst_return": -0.06989,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.070683,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029508,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.27571,
        "worst_return": -0.239925,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.034457,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039088,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.090766,
        "worst_return": -0.05761,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.123971,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.083214,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.155905,
        "worst_return": 0.092036,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-03-03",
        "end": "2023-03-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044757,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-04-07",
        "end": "2023-07-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.013781,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-07-14",
        "end": "2023-10-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.149773,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.099871,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.222146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.067801,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.203794,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 29.530828,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 470227.65,
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        "fair_value": 85.105651,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 470466.7,
        "trend": 84.036667,
        "fair_value": 84.89853,
        "relative_strength": 15.110742,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 321897,
        "typical_volume": 466381.6,
        "trend": 84.768333,
        "fair_value": 84.65693,
        "relative_strength": 13.689004,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.051437,
        "energy": 19.11576,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.193334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 88.650002,
        "volume": 294491,
        "typical_volume": 436855.3,
        "trend": 85.503334,
        "fair_value": 84.378322,
        "relative_strength": 10.708318,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 7.380726,
        "energy": 12.537811,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.573334,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 88.5,
        "volume": 427056,
        "typical_volume": 404052.1,
        "trend": 86.071667,
        "fair_value": 84.115229,
        "relative_strength": 7.766036,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.999038,
        "energy": 14.473197,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.600001,
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          90.621076
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 93.699997,
        "volume": 351589,
        "typical_volume": 391717.05,
        "trend": 86.836667,
        "fair_value": 83.893557,
        "relative_strength": 10.58752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.371408,
        "energy": 12.781535,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.613333,
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          91.113226
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}