{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3caa0dd1-8ac4-4328-8bc6-2935db0d73f2", "symbol": "KBA", "name": "KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.309, "architecture_energy": 62.296, "architecture_maturity": 67.842, "architecture_confidence": 67.649, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.34, "rotation_up": 43.58, "upward_expansion": 65.5, "deceleration": 74.0, "rotation_down": 30.0, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 579.0, 579.0, 573.963953, 558.605228 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 579.0, "trend_reference": 533.384339, "distance_from_trend": 0.085521, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 473.487818, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22284, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.515413, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.252867, "excess_performance": 0.307534, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085521, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083225, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.22284, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054081, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.135154, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101938, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.252867, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.649498, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.649498, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00869, "annualized_volatility": 0.244934, "from_high_reference": -0.018644, "from_low_reference": 0.276868 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 533.384339, "fair_value_reference": 473.487818, "structural_low": 462.140015, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.164149, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.230251, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.164149, "worst_return": 0.164149, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.252867, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.292332, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.252867, "worst_return": 0.252867, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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62.694017, "activity_lines": [ 579.0, 579.004909, 570.391001, 551.965401 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 579.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 64535.9, "trend": 529.489006, "fair_value": 472.586005, "relative_strength": 13.759664, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.818828, "energy": 63.487335, "activity_lines": [ 579.0, 579.0, 572.455715, 555.41097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 579.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 64519.55, "trend": 533.384339, "fair_value": 473.487818, "relative_strength": 13.515413, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.308945, "energy": 62.29574, "activity_lines": [ 579.0, 579.0, 573.963953, 558.605228 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }