{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3cad6582-843c-492b-9534-94489080c80f", "symbol": "THFF", "name": "First Financial Corporation Indiana", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.164, "architecture_energy": 67.233, "architecture_maturity": 47.086, "architecture_confidence": 82.941, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.51, "rotation_up": 72.02, "upward_expansion": 87.15, "deceleration": 52.29, "rotation_down": 16.39, "downward_expansion": 11.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 79.353333, 77.764539, 74.194811, 71.544941 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 81.49, "trend_reference": 68.561369, "distance_from_trend": 0.18857, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.101147, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.694138, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.732283, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.211989, "excess_performance": 0.024535, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.18857, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09133, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.694138, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181388, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.127323, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.158001, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.211989, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.427094, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 497663, "relative_activity": 1.059682, "balance": 2.427094, "dry_up": 1.06116, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04989, "annualized_volatility": 0.214002, "from_high_reference": -0.027914, "from_low_reference": 0.620439 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.561369, "fair_value_reference": 48.101147, "structural_low": 58.999281, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.013653, "positive_rate": 0.451613, "directional_follow_through": 0.451613, "median_excess_return": 0.009333, "regime_survival": 0.709677, "best_return": 0.11095, "worst_return": -0.13387, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.022385, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.027046, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.231614, "worst_return": -0.073458, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.037582, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.020571, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.238914, "worst_return": -0.060247, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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74.440942, 71.139327, 69.100355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 77.51, "volume": 512048, "typical_volume": 466968.1, "trend": 67.164691, "fair_value": 47.502588, "relative_strength": 14.334022, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.155314, "energy": 59.417212, "activity_lines": [ 76.677179, 75.353206, 72.018527, 69.803505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 80.55, "volume": 467339, "typical_volume": 475071.3, "trend": 67.883049, "fair_value": 47.79819, "relative_strength": 17.606978, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.657028, "energy": 63.390315, "activity_lines": [ 77.973333, 76.58667, 73.109773, 70.667073 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 81.49, "volume": 497663, "typical_volume": 469634.45, "trend": 68.561369, "fair_value": 48.101147, "relative_strength": 12.732283, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.164334, "energy": 67.233336, "activity_lines": [ 79.353333, 77.764539, 74.194811, 71.544941 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }