{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3cc4848c-24c2-418f-b155-baf93c63a1a8", "symbol": "4349", "name": "Alinma Hospitality REIT", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 74.611, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 3.461, "architecture_energy": 5.831, "architecture_maturity": 10.6, "architecture_confidence": 61.433, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.66, "rotation_up": 36.55, "upward_expansion": 35.47, "deceleration": 45.63, "rotation_down": 32.01, "downward_expansion": 23.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.076667, 8.064629, 8.095568, 8.088223 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 8.05, "trend_reference": 8.072615, "distance_from_trend": -0.002801, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.67339, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04908, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.145797, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.00625, "excess_performance": 0.038079, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002801, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006901, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.04908, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024937, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.021458, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012885, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.00625, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.329879, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1137470, "relative_activity": 1.305892, "balance": 1.329879, "dry_up": 0.950657, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014223, "annualized_volatility": 0.065029, "from_high_reference": -0.027778, "from_low_reference": 0.046652 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.072615, "fair_value_reference": 7.67339, "structural_low": 7.884236, 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.339701, "energy": 12.022394, "activity_lines": [ 8.066513, 8.078727, 8.102593, 8.087067 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.12, "volume": 689737, "typical_volume": 850582.65, "trend": 8.068564, "fair_value": 7.665154, "relative_strength": 3.591762, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.510932, "energy": 14.652992, "activity_lines": [ 8.093205, 8.080391, 8.105315, 8.090708 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.05, "volume": 889323, "typical_volume": 843809.2, "trend": 8.069949, "fair_value": 7.669379, "relative_strength": 4.63557, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.226299, "energy": 15.180164, "activity_lines": [ 8.085974, 8.070783, 8.100608, 8.08951 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.05, "volume": 1137470, "typical_volume": 871029.1, "trend": 8.072615, "fair_value": 7.67339, "relative_strength": 2.145797, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.461106, "energy": 5.831359, "activity_lines": [ 8.076667, 8.064629, 8.095568, 8.088223 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }