{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3cdc2476-0678-4169-8f13-852c5df6006a", "symbol": "002291", "name": "Guangdong Yowant Technology Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.629, "architecture_energy": 38.583, "architecture_maturity": 86.709, "architecture_confidence": 61.131, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.71, "rotation_up": 26.49, "upward_expansion": 17.77, "deceleration": 66.99, "rotation_down": 40.78, "downward_expansion": 67.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.131333, 5.060545, 5.440095, 5.793204 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.57, "trend_reference": 6.284667, "distance_from_trend": -0.113716, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.777115, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.178116, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.787913, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.247297, "excess_performance": -0.254697, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113716, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079889, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.178116, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077601, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.167879, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001301, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.247297, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.704603, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 381260881, "relative_activity": 2.822669, "balance": 0.704603, "dry_up": 1.553488, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098743, "annualized_volatility": 0.453661, "from_high_reference": -0.399784, "from_low_reference": 0.229581 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.284667, "fair_value_reference": 6.777115, "structural_low": 4.53, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.031398, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.012684, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.32093, "worst_return": -0.303644, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.064356, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.063275, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.502252, "worst_return": -0.392177, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.024256, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.089607, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.644144, "worst_return": -0.498759, "sufficient": true }, { 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.6, "volume": 129980324, "typical_volume": 122603467.35, "trend": 6.354333, "fair_value": 6.862051, "relative_strength": -29.842603, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.278285, "energy": 68.435466, "activity_lines": [ 4.792, 4.997818, 5.534, 5.918129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.16, "volume": 154066684, "typical_volume": 123068168.15, "trend": 6.312, "fair_value": 6.816923, "relative_strength": -19.504419, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.814211, "energy": 58.753914, "activity_lines": [ 4.902667, 4.981091, 5.463571, 5.841075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.57, "volume": 381260881, "typical_volume": 135071033.5, "trend": 6.284667, "fair_value": 6.777115, "relative_strength": -16.787913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.629157, "energy": 38.582958, "activity_lines": [ 5.131333, 5.060545, 5.440095, 5.793204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }