{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3cddf1cd-14d6-4960-b43d-954aafedc0b4", "symbol": "600373", "name": "Chinese Universe Publishing and Media Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.503, "architecture_energy": 27.999, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.216, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.24, "rotation_up": 27.54, "upward_expansion": 16.64, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 32.98, "downward_expansion": 66.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.241333, 7.141421, 7.360922, 7.692816 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.2, "trend_reference": 8.193986, "distance_from_trend": -0.121307, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.160857, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.354888, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.301908, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.233227, "excess_performance": -0.190023, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121307, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112441, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.354888, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055655, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.203019, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035648, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.233227, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.585785, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68545668, "relative_activity": 1.696258, "balance": 0.585785, "dry_up": 1.840938, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06808, "annualized_volatility": 0.290509, "from_high_reference": -0.404467, "from_low_reference": 0.092564 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.193986, "fair_value_reference": 11.160857, "structural_low": 6.59, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.017361, "positive_rate": 0.413793, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": -0.034148, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 0.145617, "worst_return": -0.122542, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.047406, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.094515, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.073424, "worst_return": -0.136386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.05014, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.116481, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.63141, "worst_return": -0.126497, "sufficient": true }, 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"relative_strength": -18.284144, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.265192, "energy": 66.452007, "activity_lines": [ 6.952, 7.122127, 7.512011, 7.901028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.85, "volume": 86123719, "typical_volume": 39209119.5, "trend": 8.315653, "fair_value": 11.217185, "relative_strength": -22.835708, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.425617, "energy": 65.750271, "activity_lines": [ 6.915333, 7.041172, 7.413918, 7.800621 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.71, "volume": 73222178, "typical_volume": 39708474.3, "trend": 8.26532, "fair_value": 11.189071, "relative_strength": -12.975038, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.883006, "energy": 39.486819, "activity_lines": [ 7.194667, 7.137853, 7.408586, 7.761546 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.2, "volume": 68545668, "typical_volume": 40409929.3, "trend": 8.193986, "fair_value": 11.160857, "relative_strength": -20.301908, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.50334, "energy": 27.998752, "activity_lines": [ 7.241333, 7.141421, 7.360922, 7.692816 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }