{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3ce0c304-fc0b-4011-946f-11e7d3ecc87c",
    "symbol": "ADP",
    "name": "Automatic Data Processing Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "assetType": "equity"
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  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "model_version": "ta-0.1.0",
    "as_of_week": "2026-07-31",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "history_weeks": 344,
    "chart_window_weeks": 156,
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "stage_color": "blue",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "stage_age_weeks": 5,
    "hard_stage_exit": false,
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "transition_score": 73.392,
    "is_transition_watch": true,
    "confidence": 58.301,
    "composite_score": 77.642,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_color": "teal",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
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    "architecture_energy": 89.616,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.029,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.447,
    "architecture_age_weeks": 4,
    "is_reacceleration_watch": false,
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      "regime": "rotation_up",
      "label": "Rotation Up",
      "color": "teal",
      "modifier": "Value reclamation",
      "gate": "up",
      "direction": 85.207,
      "energy": 89.616,
      "maturity": 23.029,
      "confidence": 69.447,
      "confirmation": 57.025,
      "age_weeks": 4,
      "candidate": "upward_expansion",
      "candidate_weeks": 1,
      "hard_reversal": false,
      "reacceleration_watch": false,
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "The fast Activity Lines are gaining on the slow pair and price acceptance is improving. This is earlier than a full trend confirmation: renewed bullish ordering and fan expansion are still required."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.8,
        "rotation_up": 85.47,
        "upward_expansion": 98.6,
        "deceleration": 39.05,
        "rotation_down": 8.72,
        "downward_expansion": 20.6
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      "activity_lines": {
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      "activity_slopes": {
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      "bullish_order": 1.0,
      "bearish_order": 0.0,
      "fan_width_atr": 1.974522,
      "fan_width_change_4": 1.076528,
      "fan_width_percentile": 0.75,
      "fast_slow_gap_atr": 1.426559,
      "fast_slow_gap_change_4": 0.760695,
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      "current_fan_distance_atr": 0.78138,
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      "accepted_below": 0.0,
      "crossing_density": 0.25
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    "interpretation": {
      "headline": "Price is building a base around a flattening 30-week trend.",
      "body": "The job of Stage 1 is repair: declining pressure must fade, relative strength must improve, and resistance must be absorbed before an advance is confirmed.",
      "phase": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
      "transition": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
      "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 73/100."
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    "relative_returns": {
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    "stage_scores": {
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      "3": 41.44,
      "4": 34.7
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        "read": "Above"
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        "label": "30-week slope",
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      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
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        "read": "Premium"
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      {
        "label": "13-week Fair Value gap",
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      {
        "label": "Mansfield RS vs SPY",
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        "label": "13-week RS change",
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        "label": "26-week price momentum",
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        "label": "13-week volume balance",
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        "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "week": "2026-06-26",
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        "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      {
        "week": "2026-07-03",
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      {
        "week": "2026-07-10",
        "open": 243.38,
        "high": 248.42,
        "low": 235.1905,
        "close": 241.92,
        "volume": 8938426,
        "sma_30": 223.850028,
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        "mansfield_rs": -12.1532,
        "stage": 1,
        "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
        "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
        "architecture_gate": "mixed",
        "architecture_direction": 48.202765,
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      {
        "week": "2026-07-17",
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        "high": 261.31,
        "low": 243.29,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "architecture_gate": "mixed",
        "architecture_direction": 57.880673,
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      {
        "week": "2026-07-24",
        "open": 254.31,
        "high": 256.01,
        "low": 240.4,
        "close": 250.09,
        "volume": 11403699,
        "sma_30": 223.735949,
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        "mansfield_rs": -5.888429,
        "stage": 1,
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        "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "architecture_gate": "mixed",
        "architecture_direction": 44.621913,
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      {
        "week": "2026-07-31",
        "open": 251.18,
        "high": 280.59,
        "low": 251.18,
        "close": 266.46,
        "volume": 15428061,
        "sma_30": 224.319148,
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        "mansfield_rs": -0.181473,
        "stage": 1,
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        "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "architecture_gate": "up",
        "architecture_direction": 85.20705,
        "architecture_energy": 89.615997,
        "activity_5": 254.971,
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        "activity_20": 231.722229,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed weekly OHLCV",
      "trend": "30-week simple moving average; slope compares the current value with ten completed weeks earlier",
      "fair_value": "current horizontal Fair Value is the arithmetic mean of up to 156 completed weekly closes; Stage 1 repair measures whether price is below and rising toward that anchor",
      "relative_strength": "Mansfield-style relative performance line: ticker/SPY divided by its trailing 52-week mean, minus one",
      "classification": "Trend Architecture uses the Activity Line position as a direction gate, then classifies ordering, four-week slopes, ATR-normalized fan width, fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.",
      "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.",
      "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. These are exit boundaries, not entry signals.",
      "confidence": "separation between the leading and runner-up stage evidence scores; not forecast probability"
    },
    "historical_outcomes": [
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        "weeks": 4,
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "stage_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": 0.018441,
        "sufficient": false
      },
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        "weeks": 13,
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        "weeks": 26,
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      },
      {
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        "end": "2024-02-02",
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        "return": 0.09556
      },
      {
        "stage": 2,
        "name": "Advancing",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
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        "weeks": 4,
        "return": -0.0012
      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "stage": 2,
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        "weeks": 50,
        "return": 0.172252
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      {
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "stage": 1,
        "name": "Basing",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
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        "weeks": 5,
        "return": 0.099847,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "architecture_outcomes": [
      {
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    ],
    "architecture_ledger": [
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        "start": "2024-02-09",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "start": "2025-01-03",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-02-14",
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        "weeks": 7,
        "return": -0.018602,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
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        "weeks": 7,
        "return": 0.116171,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "weeks": 11,
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "start": "2025-09-19",
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        "weeks": 4,
        "return": -0.023322,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "start": "2025-10-17",
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        "weeks": 33,
        "return": -0.199782,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
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        "weeks": 5,
        "return": 0.052342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "weeks": 4,
        "return": 0.101438,
        "active": true
      }
    ]
  }
}