{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3ceb7989-ace4-4ecf-bb68-d0389e52d748", "symbol": "VBK", "name": "Verbio SE", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.937, "architecture_energy": 24.331, "architecture_maturity": 15.995, "architecture_confidence": 63.344, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.87, "rotation_up": 27.79, "upward_expansion": 14.62, "deceleration": 59.69, "rotation_down": 40.36, "downward_expansion": 40.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.304, 30.577455, 32.849238, 33.343355 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 29.68, "trend_reference": 32.499334, "distance_from_trend": -0.086751, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.654545, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.436972, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.423354, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.269461, "excess_performance": 0.204821, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.086751, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147886, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.436972, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.224904, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.094234, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.667707, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.269461, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.98166, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 461125, "relative_activity": 0.622771, "balance": 0.98166, "dry_up": 0.761833, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135497, "annualized_volatility": 0.652893, "from_high_reference": -0.371985, "from_low_reference": 2.034765 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.499334, "fair_value_reference": 20.654545, "structural_low": 22.879999, "invalidation": "A 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20.939392, "relative_strength": 24.310002, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.508777, "energy": 46.002424, "activity_lines": [ 30.252, 32.444, 34.644953, 33.621914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.080002, "volume": 814219, "typical_volume": 849534.2, "trend": 31.599334, "fair_value": 20.885765, "relative_strength": 30.485032, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.131367, "energy": 41.219138, "activity_lines": [ 30.784001, 32.080728, 34.347143, 33.67914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.299999, "volume": 562283, "typical_volume": 819961.55, "trend": 32.025334, "fair_value": 20.827558, "relative_strength": 28.04972, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.370365, "energy": 17.34751, "activity_lines": [ 31.368, 31.810909, 34.048, 33.724344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.68, "volume": 418740, "typical_volume": 764858.1, "trend": 32.24, "fair_value": 20.733354, "relative_strength": 10.003521, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.567521, "energy": 25.660052, "activity_lines": [ 30.692, 31.018546, 33.387143, 33.508516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.68, "volume": 461125, "typical_volume": 740440.55, "trend": 32.499334, "fair_value": 20.654545, "relative_strength": 9.423354, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.937072, "energy": 24.331419, "activity_lines": [ 30.304, 30.577455, 32.849238, 33.343355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }