{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d01d4af-e77a-478e-b110-3841d51821b3", "symbol": "7715", "name": "Yuh Shan", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.098, "architecture_energy": 18.65, "architecture_maturity": 51.406, "architecture_confidence": 77.267, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.0, "rotation_up": 29.08, "upward_expansion": 61.53, "deceleration": 88.26, "rotation_down": 25.2, "downward_expansion": 13.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.750001, 33.209091, 31.631526, 30.681459 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.700001, "trend_reference": 30.000308, "distance_from_trend": 0.056656, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.354552, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.214463, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.589409, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.095365, "excess_performance": -0.346007, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056656, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051252, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.214463, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126396, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.265894, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.177848, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.095365, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.25686, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 526390, "relative_activity": 0.677425, "balance": 3.25686, "dry_up": 0.966565, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129135, "annualized_volatility": 0.435978, "from_high_reference": -0.235734, "from_low_reference": 0.207458 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.000308, "fair_value_reference": 40.354552, "structural_low": 26.253504, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.131414, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.109568, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.018671, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": 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28.006412, 27.680904, 27.766758, 28.166496 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 32.400002, "volume": 2104138, "typical_volume": 447564.0, "trend": 28.605414, "fair_value": 40.77746, "relative_strength": -35.416492, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.485274, "energy": 40.074317, "activity_lines": [ 29.453334, 28.579445, 28.158766, 28.420573 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 34.5, "volume": 3683348, "typical_volume": 593180.7, "trend": 28.842591, "fair_value": 40.728032, "relative_strength": -27.089581, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.275867, "energy": 62.721826, "activity_lines": [ 31.253334, 29.763475, 28.752254, 28.800869 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 36.0, "volume": 1329200, "typical_volume": 637281.2, "trend": 29.087347, "fair_value": 40.691094, "relative_strength": -26.264662, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.300138, "energy": 84.939839, "activity_lines": [ 33.226667, 31.090006, 29.469755, 29.262637 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 34.0, "volume": 405000, "typical_volume": 645480.9, "trend": 29.273291, "fair_value": 40.639225, "relative_strength": -26.917747, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.673383, "energy": 79.382919, "activity_lines": [ 34.0, 31.886833, 29.963161, 29.579583 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.599998, "volume": 1402152, "typical_volume": 679488.2, "trend": 29.529852, "fair_value": 40.600462, "relative_strength": -17.421192, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.656581, "energy": 81.090856, "activity_lines": [ 34.893333, 32.836294, 30.582384, 29.987757 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.25, "volume": 839393, "typical_volume": 703602.85, "trend": 29.598992, "fair_value": 40.529084, "relative_strength": -27.877743, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.019353, "energy": 49.670241, "activity_lines": [ 33.809999, 32.830909, 30.761444, 30.098735 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.35, "volume": 411376, "typical_volume": 709521.15, "trend": 29.679321, "fair_value": 40.459545, "relative_strength": -25.471424, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.194892, "energy": 32.987012, "activity_lines": [ 32.836666, 32.77, 30.939926, 30.211703 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.150002, "volume": 1227100, "typical_volume": 762476.15, "trend": 29.889459, "fair_value": 40.419624, "relative_strength": -17.191896, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.277762, "energy": 31.994347, "activity_lines": [ 33.34, 33.368182, 31.466368, 30.56465 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 31.700001, "volume": 526390, "typical_volume": 777045.15, "trend": 30.000308, "fair_value": 40.354552, "relative_strength": -26.589409, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.097949, "energy": 18.650424, "activity_lines": [ 32.750001, 33.209091, 31.631526, 30.681459 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }