{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3d049394-f621-450f-ac5e-071d81924299",
    "symbol": "CRON",
    "name": "Cronos Group Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.325,
    "architecture_energy": 64.991,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.212,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.001,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.63,
        "rotation_up": 65.03,
        "upward_expansion": 85.9,
        "deceleration": 47.3,
        "rotation_down": 15.91,
        "downward_expansion": 12.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.068667,
        3.998182,
        3.88819,
        3.800473
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.32,
    "trend_reference": 3.707667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.165153,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.164872,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.364984,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.833822,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.2,
    "excess_performance": 0.079579,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165153,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023463,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.364984,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.224619,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048338,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133755,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.2,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.685233,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1432100,
      "relative_activity": 2.220517,
      "balance": 4.685233,
      "dry_up": 1.131035,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05787,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.232011,
      "from_high_reference": -0.072961,
      "from_low_reference": 0.337461
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.707667,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.164872,
      "structural_low": 3.275,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 1.6e-05,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006304,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.290909,
        "worst_return": -0.129151,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.02214,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050378,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.281588,
        "worst_return": -0.182716,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.079027,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.106176,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.177465,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": 0.077491,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "volume": 444000,
        "typical_volume": 977130.0,
        "trend": 3.599667,
        "fair_value": 3.035513,
        "relative_strength": -4.443606,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -2.546081,
        "energy": 8.904053,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.626,
          3.568727,
          3.57219,
          3.597634
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 3.47,
        "volume": 616800,
        "typical_volume": 822335.0,
        "trend": 3.598,
        "fair_value": 3.042885,
        "relative_strength": -8.541632,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.733709,
        "energy": 15.211162,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.579333,
          3.555091,
          3.558619,
          3.589269
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 3.61,
        "volume": 1481300,
        "typical_volume": 842045.0,
        "trend": 3.601667,
        "fair_value": 3.049487,
        "relative_strength": -4.031069,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.534635,
        "energy": 5.941979,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.582667,
          3.570364,
          3.561143,
          3.590043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 3.77,
        "volume": 659500,
        "typical_volume": 835515.0,
        "trend": 3.609333,
        "fair_value": 3.058397,
        "relative_strength": -1.659073,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.845581,
        "energy": 9.498715,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.637333,
          3.612909,
          3.579619,
          3.600903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 3.93,
        "volume": 1265100,
        "typical_volume": 847225.0,
        "trend": 3.622667,
        "fair_value": 3.068397,
        "relative_strength": 1.483522,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.301401,
        "energy": 28.58311,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.740667,
          3.678545,
          3.612952,
          3.621591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 3.85,
        "volume": 254400,
        "typical_volume": 831350.0,
        "trend": 3.635333,
        "fair_value": 3.078718,
        "relative_strength": 0.289887,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.54516,
        "energy": 50.691504,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.798,
          3.718364,
          3.637714,
          3.636258
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 3.76,
        "volume": 142200,
        "typical_volume": 786205.0,
        "trend": 3.645667,
        "fair_value": 3.088462,
        "relative_strength": -3.664009,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.924927,
        "energy": 41.749757,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.809333,
          3.735091,
          3.652381,
          3.644301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 3.81,
        "volume": 197000,
        "typical_volume": 730780.0,
        "trend": 3.661,
        "fair_value": 3.097692,
        "relative_strength": -2.669939,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.096869,
        "energy": 39.99014,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.818,
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          3.672095,
          3.654903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 3.98,
        "volume": 107100,
        "typical_volume": 693395.0,
        "trend": 3.679333,
        "fair_value": 3.106474,
        "relative_strength": 1.355519,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.425077,
        "energy": 41.570581,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.87,
          3.804727,
          3.706048,
          3.675484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 3.99,
        "volume": 41600,
        "typical_volume": 670510.0,
        "trend": 3.697,
        "fair_value": 3.114872,
        "relative_strength": 0.647017,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.077916,
        "energy": 39.062306,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.911333,
          3.849636,
          3.739143,
          3.695527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.88,
        "volume": 426000,
        "typical_volume": 675320.0,
        "trend": 3.676667,
        "fair_value": 3.12359,
        "relative_strength": -2.350173,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.590097,
        "energy": 42.52857,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.912,
          3.868182,
          3.759667,
          3.707333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.92,
        "volume": 507100,
        "typical_volume": 632865.0,
        "trend": 3.672333,
        "fair_value": 3.133077,
        "relative_strength": -1.40422,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.708326,
        "energy": 42.973514,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.924,
          3.889091,
          3.783,
          3.723032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.97,
        "volume": 483400,
        "typical_volume": 613625.0,
        "trend": 3.679333,
        "fair_value": 3.142821,
        "relative_strength": -0.620021,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.777941,
        "energy": 48.979968,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.942,
          3.910909,
          3.809857,
          3.742237
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.95,
        "volume": 495200,
        "typical_volume": 611940.0,
        "trend": 3.688,
        "fair_value": 3.152244,
        "relative_strength": -0.931448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.093927,
        "energy": 40.183805,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.942667,
          3.922545,
          3.832619,
          3.759699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.32,
        "volume": 1432100,
        "typical_volume": 644940.0,
        "trend": 3.707667,
        "fair_value": 3.164872,
        "relative_strength": 4.833822,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.32539,
        "energy": 64.991274,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.068667,
          3.998182,
          3.88819,
          3.800473
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}