{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d0a0551-346b-4fd7-83d1-d2b2f8727a56", "symbol": "603855", "name": "Warom Technology Incorporated Company", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.019, "architecture_energy": 37.507, "architecture_maturity": 62.665, "architecture_confidence": 63.548, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.04, "rotation_up": 25.3, "upward_expansion": 12.14, "deceleration": 64.69, "rotation_down": 40.01, "downward_expansion": 68.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.267333, 16.251498, 16.738392, 17.398342 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 16.49, "trend_reference": 18.236356, "distance_from_trend": -0.095762, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.166417, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.139641, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.173792, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.157384, "excess_performance": -0.11418, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.095762, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053977, "read": "Falling" 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15.540968, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.022413, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": 0.028571, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.185855, "worst_return": -0.177523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.061254, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.0085, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.305844, "worst_return": -0.134401, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.027622, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.067863, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.524026, "worst_return": -0.128677, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.749485, "energy": 52.779069, "activity_lines": [ 16.172547, 16.373151, 17.15364, 17.819573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.9, "volume": 8755124, "typical_volume": 11698914.35, "trend": 18.431689, "fair_value": 19.248516, "relative_strength": -14.670428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.613167, "energy": 47.377927, "activity_lines": [ 16.085018, 16.233093, 16.960685, 17.648883 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.389999, "volume": 6117757, "typical_volume": 11259580.7, "trend": 18.331689, "fair_value": 19.202272, "relative_strength": -11.912104, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.882858, "energy": 44.441828, "activity_lines": [ 16.184666, 16.220005, 16.835586, 17.517161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.49, "volume": 10654284, "typical_volume": 10843507.2, "trend": 18.236356, "fair_value": 19.166417, "relative_strength": -13.173792, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.018938, "energy": 37.50677, "activity_lines": [ 16.267333, 16.251498, 16.738392, 17.398342 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }