{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d0a0e5f-3986-47b3-a753-c0e0226f3f01", "symbol": "OZEM", "name": "ROUNDHILL GLP-1 & WEIGHT LOSS ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 65.717, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 27.453, "architecture_energy": 20.481, "architecture_maturity": 16.83, "architecture_confidence": 46.402, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.65, "rotation_up": 48.92, "upward_expansion": 35.17, "deceleration": 36.37, "rotation_down": 23.47, "downward_expansion": 21.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.695327, 32.453931, 31.978359, 31.998945 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 33.65, "trend_reference": 32.53922, "distance_from_trend": 0.034137, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.097789, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.197603, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.960521, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.038571, "excess_performance": -0.226025, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034137, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010704, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.197603, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054548, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.059605, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049797, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.038571, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.503878, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 140515, "relative_activity": 1.369353, "balance": 1.503878, "dry_up": 0.911614, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043499, "annualized_volatility": 0.225214, "from_high_reference": -0.094213, "from_low_reference": 0.442799 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.53922, "fair_value_reference": 28.097789, 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"activity_lines": [ 32.603927, 31.975602, 31.661285, 32.013202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.4365, "volume": 59773, "typical_volume": 108224.45, "trend": 32.686067, "fair_value": 28.017018, "relative_strength": -3.90714, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.738295, "energy": 22.404309, "activity_lines": [ 32.664333, 32.125362, 31.75243, 31.991368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.7534, "volume": 58393, "typical_volume": 105368.7, "trend": 32.599887, "fair_value": 28.049508, "relative_strength": -6.544508, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.41619, "energy": 15.284316, "activity_lines": [ 32.360453, 32.12208, 31.776086, 31.931195 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.65, "volume": 140515, "typical_volume": 102614.15, "trend": 32.53922, "fair_value": 28.097789, "relative_strength": -5.960521, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.452732, "energy": 20.480609, "activity_lines": [ 32.695327, 32.453931, 31.978359, 31.998945 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }