{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d18882e-745a-49bf-9074-02a679f85567", "symbol": "RKT", "name": "Reckitt Benckiser Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 93.304, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 1.496, "architecture_energy": 11.247, "architecture_maturity": 16.157, "architecture_confidence": 73.31, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.75, "rotation_up": 34.68, "upward_expansion": 32.68, "deceleration": 43.44, "rotation_down": 16.24, "downward_expansion": 41.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 5112.27582, 5009.604996, 4890.827779, 5020.680652 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5306.0, "trend_reference": 5312.411753, "distance_from_trend": -0.001207, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5347.819477, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.00782, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.391997, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.163338, "excess_performance": -0.229617, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.001207, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073824, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.00782, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138254, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.13392, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101689, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.163338, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.868349, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9595279, "relative_activity": 1.258888, "balance": 0.868349, "dry_up": 0.927717, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09053, "annualized_volatility": 0.342248, "from_high_reference": -0.186052, "from_low_reference": 0.448144 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5312.411753, "fair_value_reference": 5347.819477, "structural_low": 3664.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.033764, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.01966, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.129678, "worst_return": -0.126131, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.037682, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.022147, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.099134, "worst_return": -0.218064, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.041961, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.044081, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.193918, 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4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.027389, "energy": 9.511006, "activity_lines": [ 5009.250987, 4923.198224, 4849.870317, 5023.075725 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5306.0, "volume": 9595279, "typical_volume": 7622026.75, "trend": 5312.411753, "fair_value": 5347.819477, "relative_strength": -13.391997, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.496398, "energy": 11.246552, "activity_lines": [ 5112.27582, 5009.604996, 4890.827779, 5020.680652 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }