{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d24f957-e7b5-4ef9-9ea3-caa97824b09b", "symbol": "DDI", "name": "Doubledown Interactive\u00a0Co Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.443, "architecture_energy": 49.871, "architecture_maturity": 51.366, "architecture_confidence": 63.616, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.44, "rotation_up": 42.6, "upward_expansion": 72.21, "deceleration": 67.96, "rotation_down": 29.16, "downward_expansion": 12.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.599333, 11.546545, 11.380571, 10.849892 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.86, "trend_reference": 10.165, "distance_from_trend": 0.166749, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.469876, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.132774, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.55713, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.383897, "excess_performance": 0.196444, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.166749, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094639, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.132774, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001847, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.075571, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032565, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.383897, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.352389, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 444407, "relative_activity": 0.78428, "balance": 1.352389, "dry_up": 0.611487, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042841, "annualized_volatility": 0.337851, "from_high_reference": -0.039598, "from_low_reference": 0.464198 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.165, "fair_value_reference": 10.469876, "structural_low": 8.29, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.035808, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.039226, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.226091, "worst_return": 0.0072, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.267288, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.136444, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.267288, "worst_return": 0.267288, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.393821, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.264733, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.393821, "worst_return": 0.393821, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.038254, 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"2024-08-09", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.175, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.259615, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.020488, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.041031, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.118812, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.022989, "active": false }, { "regime": 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9.634833, "fair_value": 10.373372, "relative_strength": 5.538503, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.717173, "energy": 50.423154, "activity_lines": [ 11.568, 11.592727, 10.725476, 10.200505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 11.49, "volume": 252798, "typical_volume": 553312.8, "trend": 9.710667, "fair_value": 10.386769, "relative_strength": 5.192428, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.163777, "energy": 46.904489, "activity_lines": [ 11.524667, 11.616182, 10.862214, 10.320194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.45, "volume": 262932, "typical_volume": 550690.8, "trend": 9.790667, "fair_value": 10.401769, "relative_strength": 3.286112, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.465767, "energy": 39.842827, "activity_lines": [ 11.482, 11.586182, 10.982095, 10.432409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.33, "volume": 346297, "typical_volume": 555037.45, "trend": 9.882, "fair_value": 10.416702, "relative_strength": 6.802686, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.105417, "energy": 36.430387, "activity_lines": [ 11.410667, 11.526, 11.078024, 10.53172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.42, "volume": 350081, "typical_volume": 553585.9, "trend": 9.976333, "fair_value": 10.43183, "relative_strength": 9.476158, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.522219, "energy": 33.141287, "activity_lines": [ 11.413333, 11.487091, 11.172095, 10.630946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.58, "volume": 245195, "typical_volume": 555443.3, "trend": 10.07, "fair_value": 10.449203, "relative_strength": 10.383483, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.410922, "energy": 38.535231, "activity_lines": [ 11.464, 11.487818, 11.26969, 10.734409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.86, "volume": 444407, "typical_volume": 566643.5, "trend": 10.165, "fair_value": 10.469876, "relative_strength": 7.55713, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.443114, "energy": 49.870523, "activity_lines": [ 11.599333, 11.546545, 11.380571, 10.849892 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }