{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d381973-f868-4829-a03c-8fed78ba3ca4", "symbol": "GLDVD", "name": "UBS S&P Dividend Aristocrats ESG Elite UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.242, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.942, "architecture_energy": 87.308, "architecture_maturity": 35.838, "architecture_confidence": 67.113, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.21, "rotation_up": 83.81, "upward_expansion": 96.99, "deceleration": 41.34, "rotation_down": 11.49, "downward_expansion": 18.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.523067, 11.402764, 11.162362, 11.009319 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 11.634, "trend_reference": 10.842789, "distance_from_trend": 0.072971, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.249749, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.257764, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.993751, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.086248, "excess_performance": -0.084644, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072971, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041199, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.257764, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062921, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.039938, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011771, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.086248, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.634684, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83168, "relative_activity": 5.454086, "balance": 4.634684, "dry_up": 3.073973, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015022, "annualized_volatility": 0.102894, "from_high_reference": -0.010714, "from_low_reference": 0.225876 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.842789, "fair_value_reference": 9.249749, "structural_low": 9.978, "invalidation": 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24849, "typical_volume": 11206.0, "trend": 10.756944, "fair_value": 9.202689, "relative_strength": -1.956861, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.928858, "energy": 92.303382, "activity_lines": [ 11.4096, 11.259127, 11.02861, 10.908678 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.484, "volume": 52295, "typical_volume": 12033.45, "trend": 10.801123, "fair_value": 9.225901, "relative_strength": -2.506361, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.274414, "energy": 87.670944, "activity_lines": [ 11.450533, 11.323491, 11.090905, 10.955585 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.634, "volume": 83168, "typical_volume": 15248.75, "trend": 10.842789, "fair_value": 9.249749, "relative_strength": -3.993751, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.941621, "energy": 87.308273, "activity_lines": [ 11.523067, 11.402764, 11.162362, 11.009319 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }