{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3d398ee1-55ec-4241-aa5e-c062637662ae",
    "symbol": "XSOE",
    "name": "WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises ESG Screened UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 58.575,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 19.157,
    "architecture_energy": 26.718,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.504,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.325,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.92,
        "rotation_up": 16.64,
        "upward_expansion": 52.57,
        "deceleration": 93.99,
        "rotation_down": 44.55,
        "downward_expansion": 23.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.619333,
        28.137727,
        28.097905,
        27.491452
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 27.875,
    "trend_reference": 26.705333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.043799,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.172167,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.316587,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.002795,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.117234,
    "excess_performance": -0.053657,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043799,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068007,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.316587,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076903,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040028,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.121492,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117234,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.655799,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1546,
      "relative_activity": 1.126207,
      "balance": 0.655799,
      "dry_up": 0.400291,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035461,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.233254,
      "from_high_reference": -0.081549,
      "from_low_reference": 0.326749
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.705333,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.172167,
      "structural_low": 23.48,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.001486,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02084,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.090891,
        "worst_return": -0.018253,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.010128,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041057,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.191993,
        "worst_return": -0.026552,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.040072,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038579,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.242418,
        "worst_return": 0.031988,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.101249,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.128378,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.141619,
        "worst_return": 0.060879,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006657,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013533,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024207,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.124872,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038587,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.036564,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.113658,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.093954,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.021157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010147,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 18.07,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 305.65,
        "trend": 17.505,
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        "relative_strength": -6.105724,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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        "energy": 77.611101,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 28.254999,
        "volume": 15158,
        "typical_volume": 2081.45,
        "trend": 24.520167,
        "fair_value": 20.276423,
        "relative_strength": 8.146363,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 86.889751,
        "energy": 90.10978,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 2255.9,
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        "relative_strength": 5.926267,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 73.619925,
        "energy": 85.312555,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 2150.65,
        "trend": 24.8275,
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        "relative_strength": 5.395343,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 71.90768,
        "energy": 82.040057,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1790.0,
        "trend": 25.004833,
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        "relative_strength": 8.626099,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 88.12684,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 245,
        "typical_volume": 1707.45,
        "trend": 25.165167,
        "fair_value": 20.555929,
        "relative_strength": 5.842854,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.69126,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 1581.15,
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        "relative_strength": 4.55586,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 6.511589,
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        "energy": 89.745299,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 29.18,
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        "trend": 25.804833,
        "fair_value": 20.781712,
        "relative_strength": 5.716773,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 65.39895,
        "energy": 74.079471,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 29.195,
        "volume": 593,
        "typical_volume": 1542.2,
        "trend": 26.000667,
        "fair_value": 20.858295,
        "relative_strength": 2.517296,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 68.698286,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 28.83,
        "volume": 452,
        "typical_volume": 1487.1,
        "trend": 26.186833,
        "fair_value": 20.929128,
        "relative_strength": 1.490429,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.001129,
        "energy": 60.435135,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.19,
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          27.211656
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.27,
        "volume": 196,
        "typical_volume": 1472.95,
        "trend": 26.334333,
        "fair_value": 20.991333,
        "relative_strength": -2.66561,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.460322,
        "energy": 35.142272,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.524333,
          28.713818,
          28.003833,
          27.281538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.594999,
        "volume": 242,
        "typical_volume": 1417.0,
        "trend": 26.484167,
        "fair_value": 21.050878,
        "relative_strength": -1.425013,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.703728,
        "energy": 25.280848,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.074333,
          28.525273,
          28.053143,
          27.362871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.190001,
        "volume": 214,
        "typical_volume": 1423.2,
        "trend": 26.587833,
        "fair_value": 21.109314,
        "relative_strength": -3.536326,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.833173,
        "energy": 24.926396,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.666333,
          28.263909,
          28.049357,
          27.408409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.875,
        "volume": 1546,
        "typical_volume": 1372.75,
        "trend": 26.705333,
        "fair_value": 21.172167,
        "relative_strength": -4.002795,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.156606,
        "energy": 26.718466,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.619333,
          28.137727,
          28.097905,
          27.491452
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}