{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d3c8921-eaf4-4a54-b906-3a8d51ad9c32", "symbol": "REXR", "name": "Rexford Industrial Realty Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 76.55, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 31.864, "architecture_energy": 53.172, "architecture_maturity": 6.103, "architecture_confidence": 53.537, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.9, "rotation_up": 64.9, "upward_expansion": 55.09, "deceleration": 28.74, "rotation_down": 16.37, "downward_expansion": 18.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.388, 36.253795, 35.563045, 35.418283 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 36.74, "trend_reference": 35.799024, "distance_from_trend": 0.026285, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 40.232986, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.086819, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.235503, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.044693, "excess_performance": -0.170318, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026285, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040048, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.086819, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045509, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.132355, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019134, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044693, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.993007, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12551637, "relative_activity": 1.026315, "balance": 0.993007, "dry_up": 1.293027, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058454, "annualized_volatility": 0.292227, "from_high_reference": -0.151831, "from_low_reference": 0.152044 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.799024, "fair_value_reference": 40.232986, "structural_low": 31.891149, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.010634, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.023823, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.038595, "worst_return": -0.071144, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.099627, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.166167, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.025959, "worst_return": -0.127454, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.142157, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.277876, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.048082, "worst_return": -0.195728, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"down", "direction": 6.831922, "energy": 8.782758, "activity_lines": [ 35.12832, 34.680138, 34.678627, 35.048519 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.0, "volume": 18077067, "typical_volume": 12330851.15, "trend": 35.940139, "fair_value": 40.36847, "relative_strength": -4.112095, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.730418, "energy": 34.907806, "activity_lines": [ 36.635312, 35.485687, 35.101111, 35.247015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.77, "volume": 16139741, "typical_volume": 12398120.1, "trend": 35.915203, "fair_value": 40.301527, "relative_strength": -7.954586, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.503442, "energy": 51.241951, "activity_lines": [ 37.312, 35.982048, 35.390059, 35.36507 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.74, "volume": 12551637, "typical_volume": 12229809.05, "trend": 35.799024, "fair_value": 40.232986, "relative_strength": -13.235503, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.863769, "energy": 53.172401, "activity_lines": [ 37.388, 36.253795, 35.563045, 35.418283 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }