{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3d563cc0-1d28-4b33-8004-b30d19f25b1d",
    "symbol": "ETJ",
    "name": "Eaton Vance Risk-Managed Diversified Equity Income Fund",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 42.594,
    "architecture_energy": 51.066,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.272,
    "architecture_confidence": 47.467,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.92,
        "rotation_up": 66.29,
        "upward_expansion": 62.54,
        "deceleration": 18.82,
        "rotation_down": 19.84,
        "downward_expansion": 18.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.441001,
        8.370929,
        8.331895,
        8.301119
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 8.54,
    "trend_reference": 8.304133,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.028404,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 7.630058,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.119258,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.667025,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.005001,
    "excess_performance": -0.120624,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028404,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001247,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119258,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00158,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08667,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016451,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005001,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.24956,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 532451,
      "relative_activity": 0.781896,
      "balance": 1.24956,
      "dry_up": 0.82327,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022791,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.130453,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010685,
      "from_low_reference": 0.109193
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.304133,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.630058,
      "structural_low": 7.699289,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.002836,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013842,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.059569,
        "worst_return": -0.097443,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.035748,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041763,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.099158,
        "worst_return": -0.129314,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.033996,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.07366,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.16417,
        "worst_return": -0.139692,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.021542,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.158663,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.310626,
        "worst_return": -0.098035,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014423,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.15983,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.093968,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.067491,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016037,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.017025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.001248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.025315,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013123,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.056897,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.063778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.008514,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 510427,
        "typical_volume": 727024.45,
        "trend": 8.305872,
        "fair_value": 7.589211,
        "relative_strength": -8.076923,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 7.141279,
        "energy": 8.544543,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.36,
        "volume": 543276,
        "typical_volume": 700098.85,
        "trend": 8.304001,
        "fair_value": 7.601929,
        "relative_strength": -7.045494,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.550749,
        "energy": 23.905012,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.344317,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.43,
        "volume": 656347,
        "typical_volume": 690696.75,
        "trend": 8.304463,
        "fair_value": 7.61569,
        "relative_strength": -6.987451,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.340028,
        "energy": 39.336784,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.385736,
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          8.303003,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.54,
        "volume": 532451,
        "typical_volume": 680973.8,
        "trend": 8.304133,
        "fair_value": 7.630058,
        "relative_strength": -8.667025,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.593535,
        "energy": 51.065802,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}