{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3d5afc7e-ee38-4cc2-847a-a3fec5290bed",
    "symbol": "SLVM",
    "name": "Sylvamo Corp",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -30.203,
    "architecture_energy": 18.194,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.732,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.818,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.8,
        "rotation_up": 25.29,
        "upward_expansion": 15.05,
        "deceleration": 39.74,
        "rotation_down": 38.43,
        "downward_expansion": 65.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        39.044,
        38.929482,
        39.310145,
        40.17807
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 41.07,
    "trend_reference": 42.124809,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.02504,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 53.856264,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.237415,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.307531,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.18173,
    "excess_performance": -0.307355,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02504,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058871,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.237415,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000302,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153075,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048217,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.18173,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.635307,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1490802,
      "relative_activity": 0.90403,
      "balance": 0.635307,
      "dry_up": 0.881492,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074716,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.383594,
      "from_high_reference": -0.269031,
      "from_low_reference": 0.155925
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 42.124809,
      "fair_value_reference": 53.856264,
      "structural_low": 35.53,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.030016,
        "positive_rate": 0.1875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03922,
        "regime_survival": 0.875,
        "best_return": 0.131414,
        "worst_return": -0.113181,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.121601,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.182204,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.037204,
        "worst_return": -0.249005,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.023294,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046231,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.182638,
        "worst_return": -0.340327,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.217063,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008541,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.759087,
        "worst_return": -0.32496,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.009935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.197396,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.240625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.147811,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.101059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015227,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.052785,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.325461,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02871,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.017441,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
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        "return": -0.092335,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.04968,
        "active": false
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.059107,
        "active": true
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    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 43.06004,
        "fair_value": 53.911153,
        "relative_strength": -19.111556,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.018824,
        "energy": 33.879438,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.27,
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        "typical_volume": 1719385.1,
        "trend": 42.736045,
        "fair_value": 53.87508,
        "relative_strength": -18.177866,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.550177,
        "energy": 33.803214,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.41,
        "volume": 1250659,
        "typical_volume": 1697664.8,
        "trend": 42.422256,
        "fair_value": 53.830272,
        "relative_strength": -20.368076,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.105284,
        "energy": 34.705347,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.107149,
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          39.179956,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.07,
        "volume": 1490802,
        "typical_volume": 1649062.9,
        "trend": 42.124809,
        "fair_value": 53.856264,
        "relative_strength": -15.307531,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.203357,
        "energy": 18.193883,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.044,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}