{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d720628-9f4a-4103-8c9c-6aa6e78ea5a0", "symbol": "SCOR", "name": "Comscore Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 86.414, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.74, "architecture_energy": 17.036, "architecture_maturity": 50.327, "architecture_confidence": 91.94, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.44, "rotation_up": 23.38, "upward_expansion": 5.39, "deceleration": 42.85, "rotation_down": 43.57, "downward_expansion": 74.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.216, 7.262909, 7.301408, 7.302186 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.2, "trend_reference": 7.41567, "distance_from_trend": -0.029083, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.331195, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.228395, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.076121, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.038718, "excess_performance": -0.226172, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029083, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018127, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.228395, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044299, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.130761, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045769, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.038718, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.044647, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34936, "relative_activity": 0.310276, "balance": 1.044647, "dry_up": 0.391375, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158226, "annualized_volatility": 0.584337, "from_high_reference": -0.29262, "from_low_reference": 0.190083 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.41567, "fair_value_reference": 9.331195, "structural_low": 6.1, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.000892, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011032, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.282246, "worst_return": -0.330275, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.088514, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.020588, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.492537, "worst_return": -0.356354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.283077, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.293234, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.616906, "worst_return": -0.461024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.112308, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.070359, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.332443, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.077375, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.257194, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.02248, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.061538, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.274218, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.150723, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.057269, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 15.56, "volume": 1706133, "typical_volume": 1584169.2, "trend": 19.7798, "fair_value": 48.553808, "relative_strength": -45.392466, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established 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"2026-07-17", "close": 7.49, "volume": 63734, "typical_volume": 124968.85, "trend": 7.419503, "fair_value": 9.496067, "relative_strength": -6.178902, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.101223, "energy": 12.93671, "activity_lines": [ 7.320667, 7.388182, 7.338623, 7.35609 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.27, "volume": 41527, "typical_volume": 123050.05, "trend": 7.43617, "fair_value": 9.433823, "relative_strength": -7.576854, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.21936, "energy": 11.647635, "activity_lines": [ 7.299333, 7.379818, 7.33779, 7.346445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.0, "volume": 36073, "typical_volume": 120625.8, "trend": 7.449837, "fair_value": 9.386374, "relative_strength": -11.521126, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.710986, "energy": 17.765033, "activity_lines": [ 7.233333, 7.308545, 7.311146, 7.318305 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.2, "volume": 34936, "typical_volume": 112596.7, "trend": 7.41567, "fair_value": 9.331195, "relative_strength": -13.076121, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.740201, "energy": 17.036294, "activity_lines": [ 7.216, 7.262909, 7.301408, 7.302186 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }