{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d786cff-0742-4f69-a65b-0bc55ae480d4", "symbol": "GOGO", "name": "Gogo Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.777, "architecture_energy": 17.671, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.474, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.04, "rotation_up": 29.36, "upward_expansion": 20.01, "deceleration": 42.46, "rotation_down": 25.19, "downward_expansion": 54.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.807667, 3.694545, 3.844048, 3.985376 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 3.635, "trend_reference": 4.171167, "distance_from_trend": -0.128541, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.286603, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.56134, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -46.828356, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.130383, "excess_performance": -0.317836, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.128541, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160027, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.56134, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034225, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.468284, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100988, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.130383, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.596792, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10556384, "relative_activity": 1.237435, "balance": 0.596792, "dry_up": 0.901824, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162961, "annualized_volatility": 0.749284, "from_high_reference": -0.723151, "from_low_reference": 0.203642 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.171167, "fair_value_reference": 8.286603, "structural_low": 3.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.023397, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.028627, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.376543, "worst_return": -0.325779, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.016464, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.087818, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.567985, "worst_return": -0.453237, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.032425, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.066862, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.306327, "worst_return": -0.42446, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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4.057269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.81, "volume": 5948786, "typical_volume": 8999041.4, "trend": 4.244, "fair_value": 8.417532, "relative_strength": -45.294741, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.088819, "energy": 26.271681, "activity_lines": [ 3.638667, 3.635636, 3.869048, 4.027548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.18, "volume": 8182508, "typical_volume": 8708297.1, "trend": 4.224667, "fair_value": 8.345737, "relative_strength": -37.800107, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.737627, "energy": 15.461973, "activity_lines": [ 3.847333, 3.713273, 3.88219, 4.023419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.635, "volume": 10556384, "typical_volume": 8530861.9, "trend": 4.171167, "fair_value": 8.286603, "relative_strength": -46.828356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.776708, "energy": 17.670635, "activity_lines": [ 3.807667, 3.694545, 3.844048, 3.985376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }