{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3d9868c1-c59c-4a3e-aefd-3c4c2490f752", "symbol": "603416", "name": "WuXi Xinje Electric Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.779, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.073, "architecture_energy": 53.325, "architecture_maturity": 7.102, "architecture_confidence": 82.524, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.25, "rotation_up": 12.63, "upward_expansion": 13.07, "deceleration": 35.98, "rotation_down": 62.25, "downward_expansion": 81.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.066399, 51.792656, 53.758622, 53.881086 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 51.380001, "trend_reference": 54.880282, "distance_from_trend": -0.06378, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 44.143117, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.163941, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.674612, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.067514, "excess_performance": -0.02431, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.06378, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016018, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.163941, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.209219, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.076746, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025634, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.067514, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.274522, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11374573, "relative_activity": 0.908091, "balance": 1.274522, "dry_up": 1.09647, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124986, "annualized_volatility": 0.557783, "from_high_reference": -0.245063, "from_low_reference": 0.115259 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.880282, "fair_value_reference": 44.143117, "structural_low": 46.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.022722, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": 0.020553, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.228599, "worst_return": -0.234764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.057487, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.08394, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.322598, "worst_return": -0.395477, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.16663, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.148355, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.121685, "worst_return": -0.291766, "sufficient": false 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"direction": -51.384003, "energy": 26.861136, "activity_lines": [ 53.561943, 54.800934, 55.049647, 54.995721 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.0, "volume": 14219100, "typical_volume": 12040652.75, "trend": 55.150282, "fair_value": 43.950146, "relative_strength": -13.241033, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.013285, "energy": 35.74474, "activity_lines": [ 51.206047, 53.06369, 54.369416, 54.458434 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.830002, "volume": 11206967, "typical_volume": 12245640.65, "trend": 55.008615, "fair_value": 44.040303, "relative_strength": -8.1861, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.436213, "energy": 50.696948, "activity_lines": [ 50.364817, 52.152082, 53.985043, 54.11519 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.380001, "volume": 11374573, "typical_volume": 12525809.65, "trend": 54.880282, "fair_value": 44.143117, "relative_strength": -7.674612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.072732, "energy": 53.324697, "activity_lines": [ 50.066399, 51.792656, 53.758622, 53.881086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }