{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3da6a98e-f9f2-4771-a532-c3debc69174c", "symbol": "326240", "name": "KB Kbstar IT Plus ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.409, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.504, "architecture_energy": 37.075, "architecture_maturity": 55.782, "architecture_confidence": 47.877, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.4, "rotation_up": 14.05, "upward_expansion": 21.63, "deceleration": 72.25, "rotation_down": 68.3, "downward_expansion": 39.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 40871.0, 45105.909091, 46951.899833, 44637.518838 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39035.0, "trend_reference": 40940.024674, "distance_from_trend": -0.046532, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22037.766814, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.771277, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.185075, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.292419, "excess_performance": 0.06259, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.046532, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.248913, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.771277, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.629778, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.041851, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048343, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.292419, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.343012, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39702, "relative_activity": 0.298512, "balance": 1.343012, "dry_up": 0.617437, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.165768, "annualized_volatility": 0.511427, "from_high_reference": -0.367086, "from_low_reference": 1.332517 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40940.024674, "fair_value_reference": 22037.766814, "structural_low": 29629.428212, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.009831, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.012433, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.314915, "worst_return": -0.055508, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.027606, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.040723, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.326297, "worst_return": -0.040684, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.012113, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.014659, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.012113, "worst_return": -0.012113, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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44999.666667, 49086.818182, 47927.073586, 44699.004755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40535.0, "volume": 130533, "typical_volume": 135435.2, "trend": 40513.109049, "fair_value": 21906.685672, "relative_strength": 2.930275, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.651375, "energy": 25.691038, "activity_lines": [ 42727.666667, 47142.363636, 47529.755041, 44732.880712 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39035.0, "volume": 39702, "typical_volume": 132999.8, "trend": 40940.024674, "fair_value": 22037.766814, "relative_strength": 4.185075, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.50375, "energy": 37.075455, "activity_lines": [ 40871.0, 45105.909091, 46951.899833, 44637.518838 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }