{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3daa7dab-8737-4b0a-af78-53d546f71de6",
    "symbol": "XDGH",
    "name": "iShares Core MSCI Global Quality Dividend Index ETF (CAD-Hedged)",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.992,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.749,
    "architecture_energy": 78.696,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.335,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.069,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.42,
        "rotation_up": 79.0,
        "upward_expansion": 95.18,
        "deceleration": 41.6,
        "rotation_down": 12.26,
        "downward_expansion": 17.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        31.815835,
        31.48814
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 32.799999,
    "trend_reference": 31.114182,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.054182,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.476739,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.238823,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.298213,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.053063,
    "excess_performance": -0.067358,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054182,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037219,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.238823,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051446,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022982,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030161,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053063,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.38,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15800,
      "relative_activity": 1.82448,
      "balance": 3.38,
      "dry_up": 1.795612,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018183,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.104502,
      "from_high_reference": -0.014127,
      "from_low_reference": 0.218001
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.114182,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.476739,
      "structural_low": 29.409552,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 46,
        "median_return": 0.008209,
        "positive_rate": 0.608696,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.608696,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003509,
        "regime_survival": 0.73913,
        "best_return": 0.058411,
        "worst_return": -0.051833,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.076927,
        "worst_return": -0.072949,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006111,
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        "worst_return": -0.051668,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.018773,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 30.55365,
        "volume": 11200,
        "typical_volume": 24985.0,
        "trend": 29.50511,
        "fair_value": 25.535799,
        "relative_strength": -5.055977,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.722819,
        "energy": 34.466039,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 25.593499,
        "relative_strength": -4.490126,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 34.183778,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 30.457041,
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        "typical_volume": 24480.0,
        "trend": 29.683071,
        "fair_value": 25.650697,
        "relative_strength": -5.314306,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 41.216771,
        "energy": 28.750329,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 24425.0,
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        "fair_value": 25.710223,
        "relative_strength": -3.106697,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 23825.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 23170.0,
        "trend": 29.997711,
        "fair_value": 25.837701,
        "relative_strength": -4.304541,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 30.113704,
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        "relative_strength": -3.047885,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 13260.0,
        "trend": 30.224709,
        "fair_value": 25.95996,
        "relative_strength": -2.944061,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.533116,
        "energy": 76.847884,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 11535.0,
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        "fair_value": 26.020542,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 10845.0,
        "trend": 30.410206,
        "fair_value": 26.081065,
        "relative_strength": -3.262659,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 61.035062,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 32.581161,
        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 10400.0,
        "trend": 30.53974,
        "fair_value": 26.15122,
        "relative_strength": -0.540127,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.658101,
        "energy": 80.3679,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 31.902388,
        "volume": 13500,
        "typical_volume": 9665.0,
        "trend": 30.640747,
        "fair_value": 26.215076,
        "relative_strength": -2.580739,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.106267,
        "energy": 65.292787,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.885146,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.431435,
        "volume": 7700,
        "typical_volume": 8360.0,
        "trend": 30.759716,
        "fair_value": 26.279132,
        "relative_strength": -0.72084,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.508719,
        "energy": 79.675689,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.108927,
          31.820241,
          31.3591,
          31.135845
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.531254,
        "volume": 25700,
        "typical_volume": 8225.0,
        "trend": 30.878077,
        "fair_value": 26.342752,
        "relative_strength": -0.574604,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.032271,
        "energy": 81.820207,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.316308,
          31.989767,
          31.505448,
          31.250138
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.77,
        "volume": 13000,
        "typical_volume": 8420.0,
        "trend": 31.002882,
        "fair_value": 26.409916,
        "relative_strength": 0.663512,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.276175,
        "energy": 76.010538,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.510351,
          32.172593,
          31.665108,
          31.372197
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.799999,
        "volume": 15800,
        "typical_volume": 8660.0,
        "trend": 31.114182,
        "fair_value": 26.476739,
        "relative_strength": -2.298213,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.748875,
        "energy": 78.695672,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.629268,
          32.336635,
          31.815835,
          31.48814
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}