{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3dc1ba8f-1a4c-4d4f-875b-09369173912b",
    "symbol": "R2US",
    "name": "State Street SPDR Russell 2000 US Small Cap UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.305,
    "architecture_energy": 56.98,
    "architecture_maturity": 95.142,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.16,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.1,
        "rotation_up": 44.71,
        "upward_expansion": 70.06,
        "deceleration": 68.28,
        "rotation_down": 27.82,
        "downward_expansion": 22.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        72.001162
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 76.650002,
    "trend_reference": 69.569334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.101779,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 58.337019,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.313917,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.816776,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.174353,
    "excess_performance": 0.121041,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101779,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068549,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.313917,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057751,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088168,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057602,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174353,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.567493,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 2.72173,
      "balance": 0.567493,
      "dry_up": 1.585087,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022199,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.12786,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007124,
      "from_low_reference": 0.386327
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 58.337019,
      "structural_low": 60.799999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.007901,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.518519,
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        "worst_return": -0.138796,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "typical_volume": 14670.7,
        "trend": 63.753334,
        "fair_value": 56.02468,
        "relative_strength": 12.682899,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.27939,
        "energy": 81.186838,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 14055.2,
        "trend": 64.406667,
        "fair_value": 56.338782,
        "relative_strength": 15.621099,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 84.656009,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 13734.3,
        "trend": 64.748667,
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        "direction": 80.570821,
        "energy": 85.704071,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 13767.9,
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        "fair_value": 56.661346,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 65.535334,
        "fair_value": 56.812019,
        "relative_strength": 14.089983,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 66.028001,
        "fair_value": 56.979103,
        "relative_strength": 14.693951,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 10129.7,
        "trend": 67.064,
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        "relative_strength": 16.84163,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.276311,
        "energy": 94.85153,
        "activity_lines": [
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          69.053699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 76.660004,
        "volume": 2076,
        "typical_volume": 9095.6,
        "trend": 67.517334,
        "fair_value": 57.519519,
        "relative_strength": 13.959766,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.565114,
        "energy": 91.407875,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 75.949997,
        "volume": 36253,
        "typical_volume": 10603.45,
        "trend": 67.936001,
        "fair_value": 57.694327,
        "relative_strength": 14.628387,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.207359,
        "energy": 87.064514,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.251333,
          75.001455,
          72.158334,
          70.216839
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 75.440002,
        "volume": 21897,
        "typical_volume": 11418.85,
        "trend": 68.357667,
        "fair_value": 57.855801,
        "relative_strength": 13.334505,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.681257,
        "energy": 83.165396,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.061334,
          75.296909,
          72.717572,
          70.700968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 75.730003,
        "volume": 5115,
        "typical_volume": 9940.25,
        "trend": 68.794001,
        "fair_value": 58.014391,
        "relative_strength": 12.778981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.44717,
        "energy": 64.495926,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.912001,
          75.556728,
          73.254144,
          71.176603
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.129997,
        "volume": 5838,
        "typical_volume": 9441.9,
        "trend": 69.205334,
        "fair_value": 58.164519,
        "relative_strength": 8.211718,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.995799,
        "energy": 53.812536,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.23,
          75.424364,
          73.587143,
          71.520861
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 76.650002,
        "volume": 24708,
        "typical_volume": 9078.05,
        "trend": 69.569334,
        "fair_value": 58.337019,
        "relative_strength": 8.816776,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.30472,
        "energy": 56.980213,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.586001,
          75.710364,
          74.106667,
          72.001162
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}