{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3dc8986b-91bc-414f-8e1e-76e7b86f8e11",
    "symbol": "605488",
    "name": "Zhejiang Fulai New Material Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.83,
    "architecture_energy": 71.133,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.182,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.374,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.64,
        "rotation_up": 9.7,
        "upward_expansion": 15.83,
        "deceleration": 37.82,
        "rotation_down": 71.95,
        "downward_expansion": 89.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        25.783334,
        27.792111,
        30.584372,
        32.14733
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 27.940001,
    "trend_reference": 34.484035,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.18977,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 22.036739,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.267883,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -16.926614,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.314019,
    "excess_performance": -0.270815,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.18977,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026722,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.267883,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.532733,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.169266,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.150025,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.314019,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.768831,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 58969228,
      "relative_activity": 1.754788,
      "balance": 0.768831,
      "dry_up": 1.151024,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.172097,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.75827,
      "from_high_reference": -0.426048,
      "from_low_reference": 0.314824
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.484035,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.036739,
      "structural_low": 21.25,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.005897,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006739,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
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        "worst_return": -0.296732,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.20219,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.06078,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.512821,
        "worst_return": 0.0,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.286836,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.242228,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -81.413557,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.08,
        "volume": 32927884,
        "typical_volume": 32786002.15,
        "trend": 34.953368,
        "fair_value": 21.840557,
        "relative_strength": -29.726497,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.579565,
        "energy": 74.009574,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.530001,
        "volume": 26112275,
        "typical_volume": 32028482.65,
        "trend": 34.697702,
        "fair_value": 21.927294,
        "relative_strength": -25.263843,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.737928,
        "energy": 78.182974,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.622667,
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          30.99371,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.940001,
        "volume": 58969228,
        "typical_volume": 33604766.65,
        "trend": 34.484035,
        "fair_value": 22.036739,
        "relative_strength": -16.926614,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.82975,
        "energy": 71.133181,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.783334,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}