{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3dcd75ba-6b6e-4583-84a3-f2be79424ddc",
    "symbol": "600130",
    "name": "Ningbo Bird Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 56.944,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.554,
    "architecture_energy": 63.422,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.879,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.271,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.01,
        "rotation_up": 10.52,
        "upward_expansion": 13.03,
        "deceleration": 39.14,
        "rotation_down": 71.77,
        "downward_expansion": 88.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.913333,
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        4.454381,
        4.523806
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.27,
    "trend_reference": 4.547333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.060988,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.053141,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.053504,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.576585,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.011848,
    "excess_performance": 0.055052,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060988,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011493,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053504,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.474568,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005766,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.413856,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011848,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.176499,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 171918613,
      "relative_activity": 0.978984,
      "balance": 1.176499,
      "dry_up": 0.786058,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.133489,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.607424,
      "from_high_reference": -0.377551,
      "from_low_reference": 0.334375
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.547333,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.053141,
      "structural_low": 3.2,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.004673,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011879,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
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        "worst_return": -0.178273,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064819,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.278125,
        "worst_return": -0.122396,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.076787,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.05036,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.138021,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.268692,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 168228080.4,
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        "fair_value": 4.059744,
        "relative_strength": -10.928058,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.963605,
        "energy": 55.101015,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 168851552.5,
        "trend": 4.556667,
        "fair_value": 4.055577,
        "relative_strength": -11.352398,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.78,
        "volume": 118859380,
        "typical_volume": 170679696.5,
        "trend": 4.544667,
        "fair_value": 4.052244,
        "relative_strength": -8.213448,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.074576,
        "energy": 69.790952,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.79,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.27,
        "volume": 171918613,
        "typical_volume": 175609222.55,
        "trend": 4.547333,
        "fair_value": 4.053141,
        "relative_strength": 0.576585,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.554106,
        "energy": 63.422066,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}