{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3de709e9-6168-4021-b5fd-6617bca583a7",
    "symbol": "DVOL",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST DORSEY WRIGHT MOMENTUM & LOW VOLATILITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 55.529,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.759,
    "architecture_energy": 80.059,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.338,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.287,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.77,
        "rotation_up": 80.08,
        "upward_expansion": 96.6,
        "deceleration": 39.32,
        "rotation_down": 9.89,
        "downward_expansion": 18.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        36.895958,
        36.573865
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 37.8183,
    "trend_reference": 36.30349,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.041726,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.5561,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.161635,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.438257,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.015855,
    "excess_performance": -0.171599,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041726,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018677,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161635,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01655,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074383,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07201,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015855,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.524488,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 17349,
      "relative_activity": 0.478437,
      "balance": 4.524488,
      "dry_up": 0.634041,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018255,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.117015,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012577,
      "from_low_reference": 0.125545
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 32.5561,
      "structural_low": 33.6,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.013971,
        "positive_rate": 0.65625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.65625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004695,
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        "worst_return": -0.126534,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.065593,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "typical_volume": 50480.2,
        "trend": 35.368965,
        "fair_value": 31.451785,
        "relative_strength": -9.358322,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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        "energy": 34.003236,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 51146.35,
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        "fair_value": 31.595223,
        "relative_strength": -14.639281,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 51485.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 56505.1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 51736.6,
        "trend": 35.735843,
        "fair_value": 31.955945,
        "relative_strength": -12.680979,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 39.347619,
        "energy": 17.814235,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 36.7553,
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        "trend": 35.857467,
        "fair_value": 32.096066,
        "relative_strength": -9.486507,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.060857,
        "energy": 31.171411,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.328023,
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          36.058854,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 36.8959,
        "volume": 78394,
        "typical_volume": 43861.85,
        "trend": 35.921526,
        "fair_value": 32.169404,
        "relative_strength": -9.58009,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 51.326002,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.1155,
        "volume": 15239,
        "typical_volume": 42281.9,
        "trend": 35.98907,
        "fair_value": 32.243379,
        "relative_strength": -10.331462,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.516803,
        "energy": 64.528187,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.8065,
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          36.143949
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 37.6163,
        "volume": 12894,
        "typical_volume": 39976.15,
        "trend": 36.072258,
        "fair_value": 32.31795,
        "relative_strength": -4.951106,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.794724,
        "energy": 78.66201,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.121679,
          36.747871,
          36.415218,
          36.248931
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.9247,
        "volume": 41539,
        "typical_volume": 40476.25,
        "trend": 36.152611,
        "fair_value": 32.396629,
        "relative_strength": -2.426354,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.389625,
        "energy": 83.489779,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.465487,
          37.003517,
          36.596796,
          36.368444
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.7545,
        "volume": 20184,
        "typical_volume": 37062.2,
        "trend": 36.236156,
        "fair_value": 32.476661,
        "relative_strength": -3.165884,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.533287,
        "energy": 81.235926,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.629807,
          37.198217,
          36.750335,
          36.471791
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.8183,
        "volume": 17349,
        "typical_volume": 36261.85,
        "trend": 36.30349,
        "fair_value": 32.5561,
        "relative_strength": -7.438257,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.758533,
        "energy": 80.058612,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.74878,
          37.381316,
          36.895958,
          36.573865
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}