{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3dee4737-3e6b-4577-8875-67444275a5e0", "symbol": "217770", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER WTI Inverse Future Special Assets ETF - Oil-Derivatives (H)", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.091, "architecture_energy": 41.699, "architecture_maturity": 73.914, "architecture_confidence": 63.014, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.77, "rotation_up": 11.54, "upward_expansion": 12.83, "deceleration": 61.48, "rotation_down": 64.73, "downward_expansion": 69.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 1365.0, 1425.109091, 1397.666667, 1471.52043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1398.0, "trend_reference": 1674.7, "distance_from_trend": -0.165224, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2579.936738, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.458126, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -51.630708, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.431707, "excess_performance": -0.661536, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.165224, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.207474, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.458126, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05672, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.516307, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.207879, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.431707, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.502893, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1793209, "relative_activity": 0.28272, "balance": 1.502893, "dry_up": 0.424347, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092495, "annualized_volatility": 0.656209, "from_high_reference": -0.512732, "from_low_reference": 0.206212 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1674.7, "fair_value_reference": 2579.936738, "structural_low": 1159.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.012385, "positive_rate": 0.40625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.015556, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.215974, "worst_return": -0.354947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.003699, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.055793, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.166352, "worst_return": -0.429053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.060491, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.102776, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.167774, "worst_return": -0.372263, "sufficient": 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"relative_strength": -62.020863, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.953452, "energy": 33.867677, "activity_lines": [ 1427.933333, 1443.854545, 1403.17619, 1519.380645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1346.0, "volume": 3352212, "typical_volume": 7171295.7, "trend": 1719.266667, "fair_value": 2590.002977, "relative_strength": -56.904837, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.716228, "energy": 40.513031, "activity_lines": [ 1379.133333, 1430.836364, 1397.428571, 1492.247312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1398.0, "volume": 1793209, "typical_volume": 6342700.1, "trend": 1674.7, "fair_value": 2579.936738, "relative_strength": -51.630708, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.091217, "energy": 41.698506, "activity_lines": [ 1365.0, 1425.109091, 1397.666667, 1471.52043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }