{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3df2aea4-9b26-479e-8d38-70d68e99c9da", "symbol": "WGEC", "name": "WisdomTree Global Efficient Core UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.519, "architecture_energy": 47.909, "architecture_maturity": 54.27, "architecture_confidence": 70.249, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.74, "rotation_up": 51.75, "upward_expansion": 79.97, "deceleration": 66.73, "rotation_down": 25.57, "downward_expansion": 6.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 2506.116667, 2496.922727, 2459.578571, 2415.348387 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2543.75, "trend_reference": 2364.683333, "distance_from_trend": 0.075725, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2187.307252, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.16296, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.05459, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.124434, "excess_performance": 0.073198, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075725, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029843, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.16296, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054785, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.010546, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000591, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.124434, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.260117, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16338, "relative_activity": 0.870429, "balance": 1.260117, "dry_up": 1.180325, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029318, "annualized_volatility": 0.114236, "from_high_reference": -0.15275, "from_low_reference": 0.232437 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2364.683333, "fair_value_reference": 2187.307252, "structural_low": 2137.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.013587, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.007068, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.038258, "worst_return": -0.011084, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.054951, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 2004.75, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 2053.25, "volume": 10283, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.903474, "energy": 50.687043, "activity_lines": [ 2489.95, 2482.072727, 2435.180952, 2394.52043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2485.5, "volume": 22301, "typical_volume": 19176.4, "trend": 2356.9, "fair_value": 2183.346777, "relative_strength": -0.945191, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.612544, "energy": 43.367581, "activity_lines": [ 2488.75, 2484.877273, 2445.189286, 2403.293548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2543.75, "volume": 16338, "typical_volume": 18770.05, "trend": 2364.683333, "fair_value": 2187.307252, "relative_strength": 1.05459, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.518734, "energy": 47.9086, "activity_lines": [ 2506.116667, 2496.922727, 2459.578571, 2415.348387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }