{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3e01da6e-f07a-49ea-9e31-b6b0b3514481", "symbol": "HAWX", "name": "ISHARES TRUST CURRENCY HEDGED MSCI ACWI E", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.452, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.012, "architecture_energy": 36.53, "architecture_maturity": 43.058, "architecture_confidence": 87.326, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.47, "rotation_up": 37.99, "upward_expansion": 68.93, "deceleration": 93.39, "rotation_down": 27.66, "downward_expansion": 9.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.339007, 45.329522, 44.855262, 44.157043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 46.09, "trend_reference": 43.322277, "distance_from_trend": 0.063887, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.786691, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.364147, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.226524, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.092957, "excess_performance": -0.032668, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063887, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049433, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.364147, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002492, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.002265, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018625, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.092957, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.286172, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 95954, "relative_activity": 0.809032, "balance": 3.286172, "dry_up": 0.827348, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029374, "annualized_volatility": 0.162946, "from_high_reference": -0.017502, "from_low_reference": 0.303498 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.322277, "fair_value_reference": 33.786691, "structural_low": 39.44, "invalidation": "A 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41.085911, "activity_lines": [ 45.26103, 45.153588, 44.36456, 43.701809 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.8981, "volume": 104821, "typical_volume": 119048.85, "trend": 42.987037, "fair_value": 33.536609, "relative_strength": 2.425057, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.514653, "energy": 31.786339, "activity_lines": [ 45.066951, 45.156484, 44.505609, 43.836556 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.0172, "volume": 98945, "typical_volume": 119032.1, "trend": 43.152611, "fair_value": 33.658272, "relative_strength": 1.442906, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.700024, "energy": 26.843931, "activity_lines": [ 45.01446, 45.153255, 44.639248, 43.967534 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.09, "volume": 95954, "typical_volume": 118603.4, "trend": 43.322277, "fair_value": 33.786691, "relative_strength": 0.226524, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.01213, "energy": 36.530191, "activity_lines": [ 45.339007, 45.329522, 44.855262, 44.157043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }