{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3e0280e3-34eb-4a76-aafb-d7d2fcbd4256", "symbol": "IRMD", "name": "Iradimed Co", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 64.04, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.927, "architecture_energy": 16.594, "architecture_maturity": 27.998, "architecture_confidence": 57.298, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.78, "rotation_up": 17.58, "upward_expansion": 16.12, "deceleration": 57.28, "rotation_down": 43.86, "downward_expansion": 59.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.376333, 94.519636, 93.303329, 93.869316 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 92.495, "trend_reference": 95.147712, "distance_from_trend": -0.02788, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 61.563339, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.502436, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.280429, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.032067, "excess_performance": -0.219521, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.02788, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007616, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.502436, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00658, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.092804, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010901, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032067, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.420272, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 773163, "relative_activity": 1.254204, "balance": 1.420272, "dry_up": 1.06139, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075604, "annualized_volatility": 0.223424, "from_high_reference": -0.139087, "from_low_reference": 0.379302 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 95.147712, "fair_value_reference": 61.563339, "structural_low": 76.772368, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.014625, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.02931, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.170324, "worst_return": -0.13726, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.004322, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.059433, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.35274, "worst_return": -0.235341, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.190802, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.171298, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.635252, "worst_return": -0.070729, 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"volume": 665005, "typical_volume": 575344.8, "trend": 95.574572, "fair_value": 60.640618, "relative_strength": -0.211449, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.093238, "energy": 21.48908, "activity_lines": [ 97.132, 95.394182, 93.559739, 94.4221 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 94.49, "volume": 456297, "typical_volume": 579985.75, "trend": 95.489807, "fair_value": 60.976962, "relative_strength": -1.783156, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.180546, "energy": 20.242669, "activity_lines": [ 96.538, 95.533636, 93.626485, 94.352127 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 90.86, "volume": 722741, "typical_volume": 598746.95, "trend": 95.348764, "fair_value": 61.262302, "relative_strength": -6.249811, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.232746, "energy": 12.775168, "activity_lines": [ 94.581333, 94.866727, 93.366574, 94.05343 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.495, "volume": 773163, "typical_volume": 616457.1, "trend": 95.147712, "fair_value": 61.563339, "relative_strength": -9.280429, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.927327, "energy": 16.593944, "activity_lines": [ 93.376333, 94.519636, 93.303329, 93.869316 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }