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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 96.182, "architecture_energy": 77.769, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.923, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.76, "rotation_up": 77.42, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.32, "rotation_down": 15.62, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 4203.333333, 4141.113262, 4054.442604, 3955.115468 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4400.0, "trend_reference": 3806.265191, "distance_from_trend": 0.155989, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2864.105817, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.536256, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.290652, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.294274, "excess_performance": 0.348941, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.155989, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090944, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.536256, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114412, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.252907, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130875, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.294274, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1363.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10, "relative_activity": 0.024682, "balance": 1363.0, "dry_up": 2.382451, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016565, "annualized_volatility": 0.161732, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.64901 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3806.265191, "fair_value_reference": 2864.105817, "structural_low": 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4064.076483, 3985.778687, 3888.469646 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4150.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 404.65, "trend": 3772.918161, "fair_value": 2848.306804, "relative_strength": 19.026883, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.044843, "energy": 71.956818, "activity_lines": [ 4096.666667, 4080.927527, 4009.315407, 3914.658575 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4400.0, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 405.15, "trend": 3806.265191, "fair_value": 2864.105817, "relative_strength": 25.290652, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 96.181748, "energy": 77.768987, "activity_lines": [ 4203.333333, 4141.113262, 4054.442604, 3955.115468 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }