{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3e202997-e922-436c-a989-efb8511a4d13",
    "symbol": "603759",
    "name": "Haitian Water Group Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.771,
    "architecture_energy": 56.525,
    "architecture_maturity": 90.525,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.372,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.42,
        "rotation_up": 28.2,
        "upward_expansion": 10.26,
        "deceleration": 60.92,
        "rotation_down": 48.87,
        "downward_expansion": 81.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.072667,
        7.127244,
        7.58589,
        8.171316
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 7.22,
    "trend_reference": 9.052583,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.202438,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 7.98762,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.096101,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.644139,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.413008,
    "excess_performance": -0.369804,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.202438,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127856,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.096101,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.221642,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.216441,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099603,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.413008,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.34517,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18500339,
      "relative_activity": 0.857395,
      "balance": 0.34517,
      "dry_up": 0.998818,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080931,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.346468,
      "from_high_reference": -0.561627,
      "from_low_reference": 0.084084
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.052583,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.98762,
      "structural_low": 6.66,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.006662,
        "positive_rate": 0.48,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52,
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        "worst_return": -0.149028,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.19,
        "volume": 17839131,
        "typical_volume": 21958820.95,
        "trend": 9.16325,
        "fair_value": 7.997169,
        "relative_strength": -20.150876,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -64.517861,
        "energy": 62.293613,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.22,
        "volume": 18500339,
        "typical_volume": 21577388.45,
        "trend": 9.052583,
        "fair_value": 7.98762,
        "relative_strength": -21.644139,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.770786,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}