{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3e233cec-0a9c-47c3-867d-27eb07d205af",
    "symbol": "VUKE",
    "name": "Vanguard FTSE 100 UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 83.455,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.513,
    "architecture_energy": 81.133,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.921,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.749,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.39,
        "rotation_up": 79.57,
        "upward_expansion": 93.38,
        "deceleration": 42.0,
        "rotation_down": 9.31,
        "downward_expansion": 17.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.808167,
        46.301644,
        45.71757,
        45.461588
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 47.380001,
    "trend_reference": 45.16627,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.049013,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.843294,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.285987,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.754452,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.058814,
    "excess_performance": 0.007579,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049013,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02841,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.285987,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045477,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007545,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004385,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058814,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.189332,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1563198,
      "relative_activity": 1.135332,
      "balance": 2.189332,
      "dry_up": 1.370492,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019077,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.14713,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005562,
      "from_low_reference": 0.21937
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.16627,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.843294,
      "structural_low": 42.060001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.010088,
        "positive_rate": 0.659091,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.659091,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002622,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.072246,
        "worst_return": -0.081402,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.533333,
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        "worst_return": -0.055191,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.018258,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.046686,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.021658,
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1286763.35,
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        "fair_value": 36.517458,
        "relative_strength": 0.440524,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 60.707004,
        "energy": 57.256457,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.505001,
        "volume": 1985086,
        "typical_volume": 1318571.2,
        "trend": 44.906401,
        "fair_value": 36.620871,
        "relative_strength": 0.483798,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.080881,
        "energy": 66.791605,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.119999,
        "volume": 2263996,
        "typical_volume": 1357295.2,
        "trend": 45.043988,
        "fair_value": 36.731133,
        "relative_strength": 0.542057,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.327786,
        "energy": 71.762515,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.426667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.380001,
        "volume": 1563198,
        "typical_volume": 1376864.5,
        "trend": 45.16627,
        "fair_value": 36.843294,
        "relative_strength": 0.754452,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.513081,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}