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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.995, "architecture_energy": 54.419, "architecture_maturity": 66.362, "architecture_confidence": 78.154, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.84, "rotation_up": 51.01, "upward_expansion": 82.07, "deceleration": 68.13, "rotation_down": 28.54, "downward_expansion": 8.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 6449.501953, 6435.548793, 6366.442227, 6252.523874 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6528.009766, "trend_reference": 6119.010823, "distance_from_trend": 0.066841, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5319.772143, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227122, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.963615, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.114076, "excess_performance": 0.168743, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066841, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019807, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.227122, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008396, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.049636, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101547, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.114076, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.999116, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97080, "relative_activity": 11.710777, "balance": 4.999116, "dry_up": 3.464649, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018831, "annualized_volatility": 0.10891, "from_high_reference": -0.010906, "from_low_reference": 0.16208 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6119.010823, "fair_value_reference": 5319.772143, 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"trend": 6094.187516, "fair_value": 5285.836831, "relative_strength": 3.507401, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.378192, "energy": 64.3654, "activity_lines": [ 6439.953385, 6419.12793, 6318.30538, 6207.520078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6370.0, "volume": 6494, "typical_volume": 3610.45, "trend": 6106.263411, "fair_value": 5301.985499, "relative_strength": 2.377057, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.795698, "energy": 53.452819, "activity_lines": [ 6419.059375, 6413.294132, 6336.121515, 6225.314432 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6528.009766, "volume": 97080, "typical_volume": 8289.8, "trend": 6119.010823, "fair_value": 5319.772143, "relative_strength": 4.963615, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.994933, "energy": 54.418546, "activity_lines": [ 6449.501953, 6435.548793, 6366.442227, 6252.523874 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }