{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3e28d586-b7c4-447b-9e3a-769a166e7ff5", "symbol": "BETCO", "name": "Better Collective A/S", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 65.22, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.331, "architecture_energy": 24.941, "architecture_maturity": 14.784, "architecture_confidence": 70.76, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.2, "rotation_up": 24.08, "upward_expansion": 14.57, "deceleration": 40.09, "rotation_down": 31.54, "downward_expansion": 59.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 120.986667, 120.741819, 123.712857, 126.109032 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 121.199997, "trend_reference": 126.306667, "distance_from_trend": -0.040431, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 175.916026, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.311035, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.152383, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.052997, "excess_performance": -0.008497, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.040431, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024247, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.311035, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047813, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.121524, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101006, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.052997, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.393506, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 136924, "relative_activity": 0.544318, "balance": 0.393506, "dry_up": 0.789797, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059406, "annualized_volatility": 0.317887, "from_high_reference": -0.184936, "from_low_reference": 0.162033 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 126.306667, "fair_value_reference": 175.916026, "structural_low": 111.699997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.057341, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.061287, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.095841, "worst_return": -0.280528, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.141245, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.211527, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.07541, "worst_return": -0.20708, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.039896, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.137714, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.157377, "worst_return": -0.237168, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.459837, "energy": 50.693944, "activity_lines": [ 120.533334, 123.847272, 129.135714, 127.878064 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 121.599998, "volume": 174251, "typical_volume": 343308.35, "trend": 124.98, "fair_value": 179.675641, "relative_strength": -13.531706, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.839078, "energy": 33.221539, "activity_lines": [ 120.733333, 122.719999, 128.241428, 127.675914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 118.800003, "volume": 658392, "typical_volume": 367061.3, "trend": 125.153333, "fair_value": 179.004487, "relative_strength": -13.048409, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.146055, "energy": 36.28242, "activity_lines": [ 119.920001, 121.378182, 127.070952, 127.277204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 119.800003, "volume": 171206, "typical_volume": 328491.75, "trend": 125.43, "fair_value": 178.291667, "relative_strength": -10.70993, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.260134, "energy": 35.251572, "activity_lines": [ 119.666668, 120.643637, 126.00381, 126.931828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 122.400002, "volume": 250588, "typical_volume": 289815.85, "trend": 125.716667, "fair_value": 177.585897, "relative_strength": -9.546242, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.423369, "energy": 25.473243, "activity_lines": [ 120.546669, 120.680001, 125.223334, 126.736344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 120.800003, "volume": 235981, "typical_volume": 262729.65, "trend": 126.006667, "fair_value": 176.796154, "relative_strength": -11.34109, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.513292, "energy": 19.392009, "activity_lines": [ 120.813336, 120.676365, 124.396191, 126.41914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 121.199997, "volume": 136924, "typical_volume": 251551.65, "trend": 126.306667, "fair_value": 175.916026, "relative_strength": -12.152383, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.331436, "energy": 24.940956, "activity_lines": [ 120.986667, 120.741819, 123.712857, 126.109032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }