{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3e3f1d89-bdca-44e5-8b37-7b072606f22e", "symbol": "600919", "name": "Bank of Jiangsu Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.363, "architecture_energy": 66.029, "architecture_maturity": 9.362, "architecture_confidence": 84.278, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.94, "rotation_up": 69.75, "upward_expansion": 87.53, "deceleration": 45.47, "rotation_down": 10.05, "downward_expansion": 14.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.588667, 11.388095, 11.285666, 11.145913 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.62, "trend_reference": 10.89006, "distance_from_trend": 0.067028, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.718189, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.332846, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.694104, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.147088, "excess_performance": 0.190292, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067028, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031432, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.332846, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030072, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.096941, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125233, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.147088, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.406981, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 509941126, "relative_activity": 1.407594, "balance": 1.406981, "dry_up": 1.489304, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037346, "annualized_volatility": 0.145376, "from_high_reference": -0.020236, "from_low_reference": 0.216474 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.89006, "fair_value_reference": 8.718189, "structural_low": 9.93, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.001574, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.000134, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.19707, "worst_return": -0.075123, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.021935, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.020209, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.294676, "worst_return": -0.151007, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.090203, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.004736, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.221128, "worst_return": -0.058899, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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25.832329, "energy": 20.322334, "activity_lines": [ 11.019917, 11.104201, 11.089979, 10.932924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.31, "volume": 583594442, "typical_volume": 357610070.35, "trend": 10.728324, "fair_value": 8.608879, "relative_strength": 11.487208, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.422844, "energy": 19.975105, "activity_lines": [ 11.089926, 11.132629, 11.120091, 10.973127 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.57, "volume": 514435145, "typical_volume": 356972150.35, "trend": 10.774916, "fair_value": 8.645286, "relative_strength": 12.710951, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.383076, "energy": 35.213948, "activity_lines": [ 11.269011, 11.207966, 11.170394, 11.027429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.83, "volume": 550200575, "typical_volume": 359870991.05, "trend": 10.838572, "fair_value": 8.682634, "relative_strength": 14.682692, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.686072, "energy": 63.995087, "activity_lines": [ 11.496087, 11.323485, 11.240601, 11.095499 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.62, "volume": 509941126, "typical_volume": 362278572.85, "trend": 10.89006, "fair_value": 8.718189, "relative_strength": 9.694104, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.362885, "energy": 66.028752, "activity_lines": [ 11.588667, 11.388095, 11.285666, 11.145913 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }