{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3e5ad017-e1c7-479c-a15c-ec3914333077", "symbol": "6621", "name": "UniPharma Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.391, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.806, "architecture_energy": 39.773, "architecture_maturity": 24.917, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.98, "rotation_up": 23.22, "upward_expansion": 6.29, "deceleration": 45.95, "rotation_down": 48.14, "downward_expansion": 79.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.2, 11.240909, 11.523095, 11.842716 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.65, "trend_reference": 12.175431, "distance_from_trend": -0.043155, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.790468, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155214, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.067354, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.041152, "excess_performance": -0.482524, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.043155, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025609, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155214, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000822, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.330674, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040154, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.041152, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.312995, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 276033, "relative_activity": 0.571544, "balance": 0.312995, "dry_up": 0.339655, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06999, "annualized_volatility": 0.295066, "from_high_reference": -0.271875, "from_low_reference": 0.099057 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.175431, "fair_value_reference": 13.790468, "structural_low": 10.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.46875, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.007795, "regime_survival": 0.90625, "best_return": 0.322581, "worst_return": -0.117647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.033333, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.119445, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.290179, "worst_return": -0.125413, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.035394, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.18617, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.24569, "worst_return": -0.187117, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 11.323333, 11.398182, 11.80619, 12.058391 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.85, "volume": 156012, "typical_volume": 541216.7, "trend": 12.230431, "fair_value": 13.875403, "relative_strength": -35.592324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.234202, "energy": 53.008825, "activity_lines": [ 11.173333, 11.276364, 11.675, 11.966535 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.85, "volume": 94874, "typical_volume": 492948.6, "trend": 12.188765, "fair_value": 13.828929, "relative_strength": -36.327116, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.577896, "energy": 59.965582, "activity_lines": [ 11.04, 11.176364, 11.554762, 11.877475 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 11.65, "volume": 276033, "typical_volume": 482960.6, "trend": 12.175431, "fair_value": 13.790468, "relative_strength": -33.067354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.805535, "energy": 39.772766, "activity_lines": [ 11.2, 11.240909, 11.523095, 11.842716 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }