{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3e5da945-a8eb-4793-91e1-08f169d7fb44", "symbol": "TAINWALCHM", "name": "Tainwala Chemicals and Plastics (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.308, "architecture_energy": 29.929, "architecture_maturity": 29.748, "architecture_confidence": 73.663, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.38, "rotation_up": 46.98, "upward_expansion": 71.28, "deceleration": 61.14, "rotation_down": 19.26, "downward_expansion": 4.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 203.752665, 202.26218, 200.734713, 197.981354 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 207.5, "trend_reference": 193.589999, "distance_from_trend": 0.071853, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 192.889989, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.075743, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.208475, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.22181, "excess_performance": 0.265519, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071853, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024062, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.075743, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033427, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.062085, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004889, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.22181, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.272532, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53040, "relative_activity": 1.394608, "balance": 5.272532, "dry_up": 3.593902, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082636, "annualized_volatility": 0.348951, "from_high_reference": -0.192607, "from_low_reference": 0.33871 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 193.589999, "fair_value_reference": 192.889989, "structural_low": 162.050003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.005813, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.008304, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.286219, "worst_return": -0.230769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.014395, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.077845, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.479328, "worst_return": -0.280172, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.068087, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.028079, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.705231, "worst_return": -0.308429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.051835, "energy": 31.16194, "activity_lines": [ 202.97333, 201.271271, 199.006714, 196.134257 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 201.869995, "volume": 32409, "typical_volume": 36321.15, "trend": 192.599332, "fair_value": 191.914299, "relative_strength": 6.332731, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.461634, "energy": 24.301946, "activity_lines": [ 203.14533, 201.557998, 199.559285, 196.735268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 197.139999, "volume": 14631, "typical_volume": 36105.95, "trend": 192.726332, "fair_value": 192.404199, "relative_strength": 1.520149, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.371756, "energy": 21.258036, "activity_lines": [ 201.69733, 200.981089, 199.662237, 197.028214 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 207.5, "volume": 53040, "typical_volume": 38032.2, "trend": 193.589999, "fair_value": 192.889989, "relative_strength": 6.208475, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.307867, "energy": 29.928833, "activity_lines": [ 203.752665, 202.26218, 200.734713, 197.981354 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }