{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3e6807ae-f5f7-451f-9539-14e79f17799d",
    "symbol": "IITL",
    "name": "Industrial Investment Trust Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 81.621,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -29.67,
    "architecture_energy": 16.261,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.576,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.643,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.47,
        "rotation_up": 25.55,
        "upward_expansion": 15.48,
        "deceleration": 40.53,
        "rotation_down": 30.75,
        "downward_expansion": 60.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        135.554667,
        133.255455,
        140.047286,
        141.001828
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 144.860001,
    "trend_reference": 141.389,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.024549,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 202.235321,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.283706,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.112571,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.046223,
    "excess_performance": 0.089932,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024549,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080233,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.283706,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088345,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071126,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07785,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046223,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.877501,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1094951,
      "relative_activity": 2.95923,
      "balance": 1.877501,
      "dry_up": 1.765628,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.110382,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.423569,
      "from_high_reference": -0.329352,
      "from_low_reference": 0.341296
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 141.389,
      "fair_value_reference": 202.235321,
      "structural_low": 108.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.027726,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010829,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.241828,
        "worst_return": -0.157258,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.118166,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.164105,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.675201,
        "worst_return": -0.242724,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.006371,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030992,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.616919,
        "worst_return": -0.108002,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.090704,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007828,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.340231,
        "worst_return": -0.11908,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.205919,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
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        "return": -0.075828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
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        "return": 0.251325,
        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 128.729996,
        "volume": 502129,
        "typical_volume": 277341.35,
        "trend": 143.798667,
        "fair_value": 201.634167,
        "relative_strength": -17.456718,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.630894,
        "energy": 53.653567,
        "activity_lines": [
          129.071331,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 132.020004,
        "volume": 456288,
        "typical_volume": 296045.8,
        "trend": 142.690667,
        "fair_value": 201.810257,
        "relative_strength": -13.032505,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.751159,
        "energy": 41.178836,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.08,
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          141.036476,
          141.476129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 132.0,
        "volume": 559847,
        "typical_volume": 319785.6,
        "trend": 141.521001,
        "fair_value": 201.992308,
        "relative_strength": -14.977032,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.257121,
        "energy": 34.603424,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.783333,
          131.130727,
          139.930952,
          140.786409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 144.860001,
        "volume": 1094951,
        "typical_volume": 370012.1,
        "trend": 141.389,
        "fair_value": 202.235321,
        "relative_strength": -7.112571,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.670013,
        "energy": 16.260671,
        "activity_lines": [
          135.554667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}