{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3e8b870d-4d51-43f7-a391-a4e460309cd7",
    "symbol": "601998",
    "name": "China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 53.368,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -24.765,
    "architecture_energy": 22.35,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.387,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.387,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.15,
        "rotation_up": 40.71,
        "upward_expansion": 21.91,
        "deceleration": 41.15,
        "rotation_down": 23.86,
        "downward_expansion": 55.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        7.565926
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 7.46,
    "trend_reference": 7.586401,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.016661,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 6.598392,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.130578,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.319231,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.037552,
    "excess_performance": 0.080756,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016661,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013715,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130578,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12156,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013192,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038525,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037552,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.870891,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 277117269,
      "relative_activity": 1.232832,
      "balance": 0.870891,
      "dry_up": 1.444935,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048816,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.237812,
      "from_high_reference": -0.120283,
      "from_low_reference": 0.082729
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.586401,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.598392,
      "structural_low": 6.89,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.357143,
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        "worst_return": -0.039666,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "worst_return": -0.038223,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 231323590.0,
        "trend": 7.594401,
        "fair_value": 6.582652,
        "relative_strength": 5.975818,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -13.993794,
        "energy": 16.084764,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "typical_volume": 224780961.85,
        "trend": 7.586401,
        "fair_value": 6.598392,
        "relative_strength": -1.319231,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -24.764926,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}