{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3ea41961-1a35-44f6-ab0b-57d8ba94dcdb", "symbol": "CHPT", "name": "ChargePoint Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 59.72, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.747, "architecture_energy": 28.313, "architecture_maturity": 4.858, "architecture_confidence": 62.72, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.45, "rotation_up": 17.31, "upward_expansion": 18.23, "deceleration": 55.54, "rotation_down": 58.69, "downward_expansion": 47.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.703333, 5.930182, 6.263762, 6.187613 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.22, "trend_reference": 6.154, "distance_from_trend": 0.010725, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.439603, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.764747, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.483749, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.021346, "excess_performance": -0.104278, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010725, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094512, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.764747, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078371, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.284837, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134683, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.021346, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.024939, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1959753, "relative_activity": 0.681217, "balance": 1.024939, "dry_up": 0.724253, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.190019, "annualized_volatility": 0.809383, "from_high_reference": -0.507132, "from_low_reference": 0.400901 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.154, "fair_value_reference": 26.439603, "structural_low": 4.44, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"direction": -11.837943, "energy": 23.417578, "activity_lines": [ 5.962667, 6.450182, 6.42581, 6.310237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.12, "volume": 2116311, "typical_volume": 2913373.05, "trend": 6.229333, "fair_value": 28.398064, "relative_strength": -40.198848, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.128985, "energy": 38.737432, "activity_lines": [ 5.572, 6.161818, 6.324048, 6.234452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.46, "volume": 1688055, "typical_volume": 2883053.0, "trend": 6.176667, "fair_value": 27.401013, "relative_strength": -36.05873, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.942029, "energy": 39.907051, "activity_lines": [ 5.507333, 5.962727, 6.258, 6.184817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.22, "volume": 1959753, "typical_volume": 2876839.7, "trend": 6.154, "fair_value": 26.439603, "relative_strength": -28.483749, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.747413, "energy": 28.312564, "activity_lines": [ 5.703333, 5.930182, 6.263762, 6.187613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }